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Retail Sales (MoM)

Retail Sales data published by the US Census Bureau is a leading indicator that gives important information about consumer spending, which has a significant impact on the GDP. Although strong sales figures are likely to boost the USD, external factors, such as weather conditions, could distort the data and paint a misleading picture. In addition to the headline data, changes in the Retail Sales Control Group could trigger a market reaction as it is used to prepare the estimates of Personal Consumption Expenditures for most goods.

Most recent - Thursday 14 March 2024 12:30

Previous
-1.1%
Revised
-1.1%
Forecast
0.8%
Actual
0.6%

Lower numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for xxx/USD pairs and bearish for USD/xxx pairs.

Next event - Monday 15 April 2024 12:30

Previous
0.6%
Forecast
-
Actual
-

The typical/expected impact on USD pairs is high.

There is no forecast value for Retail Sales (MoM) yet - check back for updates.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Retail Sales (MoM) was 0.6% against a forecast of 0.8%.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Thursday 14 March 2024 12:30
0.8%
0.6%
Thursday 15 February 2024 13:30
-0.1%
-0.8%
Wednesday 17 January 2024 13:30
0.4%
0.6%
Thursday 14 December 2023 13:30
-0.1%
0.3%
Wednesday 15 November 2023 13:30
-0.3%
-0.1%
Tuesday 17 October 2023 12:30
0.3%
0.7%
Thursday 14 September 2023 12:30
0.2%
0.6%
Tuesday 15 August 2023 12:30
0.4%
0.7%
Tuesday 18 July 2023 12:30
0.5%
0.2%
Thursday 15 June 2023 12:30
-0.1%
0.3%
Tuesday 16 May 2023 12:30
0.7%
0.4%
Friday 14 April 2023 12:30
-0.4%
-1%
Wednesday 15 March 2023 12:30
-0.3%
-0.4%
Wednesday 15 February 2023 13:30
1.8%
3%
Wednesday 18 January 2023 13:30
-0.8%
-1.1%
Thursday 15 December 2022 13:30
-0.1%
-0.6%
Wednesday 16 November 2022 13:30
1%
1.3%
Friday 14 October 2022 12:30
0.2%
0%
Thursday 15 September 2022 12:30
0%
0.3%
Wednesday 17 August 2022 12:30
0.1%
0%
Friday 15 July 2022 12:30
0.8%
1%
Wednesday 15 June 2022 12:30
0.2%
-0.3%
Tuesday 17 May 2022 12:30
0.7%
0.9%
Thursday 14 April 2022 12:30
0.6%
0.5%
Wednesday 16 March 2022 12:30
0.4%
0.3%
Wednesday 16 February 2022 13:30
2%
3.8%
Friday 14 January 2022 13:30
0%
-1.9%
Wednesday 15 December 2021 13:30
0.8%
0.3%
Tuesday 16 November 2021 13:30
1.4%
1.7%
Friday 15 October 2021 12:30
-0.2%
0.7%
Thursday 16 September 2021 12:30
-0.8%
0.7%
Tuesday 17 August 2021 12:30
-0.3%
-1.1%
Friday 16 July 2021 12:30
-0.4%
0.6%
Tuesday 15 June 2021 12:30
-0.8%
-1.3%
Friday 14 May 2021 12:30
1%
0%
Thursday 15 April 2021 12:30
5.9%
9.8%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Retail Sales (MoM) result:

PreviousLatest
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.5%0.3%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)Bearish change2.9%2.8%
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.4%0.3%
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)Bullish change2.4%2.5%
Personal Income (MoM)Bearish change1%0.3%
Personal SpendingBullish change0.2%0.8%
Michigan Consumer Sentiment IndexBullish change76.579.4
Pending Home Sales (MoM)Bullish change-4.7%1.6%
UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation ExpectationBearish change2.9%2.8%
Chicago Purchasing Managers' IndexBearish change4441.4
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (QoQ)Bearish change2.1%2%
Gross Domestic Product AnnualizedBullish change3.2%3.4%
Gross Domestic Product Price Index(no change)1.7%1.7%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBullish change212K210K
Personal Consumption Expenditures Prices (QoQ)(no change)1.8%1.8%
Housing Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.1%-0.1%
Durable Goods OrdersBullish change-6.9%1.4%
Durable Goods Orders ex DefenseBullish change-7.9%2.2%
Durable Goods Orders ex TransportationBullish change-0.3%0.5%
Nondefense Capital Goods Orders ex AircraftBullish change-0.4%0.7%
New Home Sales Change (MoM)Bearish change1.7%-0.3%
Existing Home Sales Change (MoM)Bullish change3.1%9.5%
S&P Global Composite PMIBearish change52.552.2
S&P Global Manufacturing PMIBullish change52.252.5
S&P Global Services PMIBearish change52.351.7
Initial Jobless ClaimsBullish change212K210K
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing SurveyBearish change5.23.2
Fed Interest Rate Decision(no change)5.5%5.5%
Interest Rate Projections - 1st yearBearish change4.6%3.9%
Interest Rate Projections - 2nd yearBearish change3.6%3.1%
Interest Rate Projections - CurrentBearish change5.4%4.6%
Interest Rate Projections - LongerBullish change2.5%2.6%
Building Permits (MoM)Bullish change1.489M1.518M
Housing Starts (MoM)Bullish change1.374M1.521M

About Retail Sales (MoM)

Country:United States
Currency:USD
Source:US Census Bureau
Category:Consumption
Frequency:Monthly
 
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