Retail Sales (MoM)

Retail Sales data published by the US Census Bureau is a leading indicator that gives important information about consumer spending, which has a significant impact on the GDP. Although strong sales figures are likely to boost the USD, external factors, such as weather conditions, could distort the data and paint a misleading picture. In addition to the headline data, changes in the Retail Sales Control Group could trigger a market reaction as it is used to prepare the estimates of Personal Consumption Expenditures for most goods.

Most recent - Wednesday 15 March 2023 12:30

Previous
3.2%
Revised
3.2%
Forecast
-0.3%
Actual
-0.4%

Lower numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for xxx/USD pairs and bearish for USD/xxx pairs.

Next event - Friday 14 April 2023 12:30

Previous
-0.4%
Forecast
-
Actual
-

The typical/expected impact on USD pairs is high.

There is no forecast value for Retail Sales (MoM) yet - check back for updates.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Retail Sales (MoM) was -0.4% against a forecast of -0.3%.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Wednesday 15 March 2023 12:30
-0.3%
-0.4%
Wednesday 15 February 2023 13:30
1.8%
3%
Wednesday 18 January 2023 13:30
-0.8%
-1.1%
Thursday 15 December 2022 13:30
-0.1%
-0.6%
Wednesday 16 November 2022 13:30
1%
1.3%
Friday 14 October 2022 12:30
0.2%
0%
Thursday 15 September 2022 12:30
0%
0.3%
Wednesday 17 August 2022 12:30
0.1%
0%
Friday 15 July 2022 12:30
0.8%
1%
Wednesday 15 June 2022 12:30
0.2%
-0.3%
Tuesday 17 May 2022 12:30
0.7%
0.9%
Thursday 14 April 2022 12:30
0.6%
0.5%
Wednesday 16 March 2022 12:30
0.4%
0.3%
Wednesday 16 February 2022 13:30
2%
3.8%
Friday 14 January 2022 13:30
0%
-1.9%
Wednesday 15 December 2021 13:30
0.8%
0.3%
Tuesday 16 November 2021 13:30
1.4%
1.7%
Friday 15 October 2021 12:30
-0.2%
0.7%
Thursday 16 September 2021 12:30
-0.8%
0.7%
Tuesday 17 August 2021 12:30
-0.3%
-1.1%
Friday 16 July 2021 12:30
-0.4%
0.6%
Tuesday 15 June 2021 12:30
-0.8%
-1.3%
Friday 14 May 2021 12:30
1%
0%
Thursday 15 April 2021 12:30
5.9%
9.8%
Tuesday 16 March 2021 12:30
-0.5%
-3%
Wednesday 17 February 2021 13:30
1.1%
5.3%
Friday 15 January 2021 13:30
0%
-0.7%
Wednesday 16 December 2020 13:30
-0.3%
-1.1%
Tuesday 17 November 2020 13:30
0.5%
0.3%
Friday 16 October 2020 12:30
0.7%
1.9%
Wednesday 16 September 2020 12:30
1%
0.6%
Friday 14 August 2020 12:30
1.9%
1.2%
Thursday 16 July 2020 12:30
5%
7.5%
Tuesday 16 June 2020 12:30
8%
17.7%
Friday 15 May 2020 12:30
-12%
-16.4%
Wednesday 15 April 2020 12:30
-8%
-8.7%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Retail Sales (MoM) result:

PreviousLatest
Michigan Consumer Sentiment IndexBearish change63.462
UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation ExpectationBullish change2.8%2.9%
Chicago Purchasing Managers' IndexBullish change43.643.8
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.5%0.3%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)Bearish change4.7%4.6%
Personal Income (MoM)Bearish change0.6%0.3%
Personal SpendingBearish change2%0.2%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (QoQ)Bullish change4.3%4.4%
Gross Domestic Product AnnualizedBearish change2.7%2.6%
Gross Domestic Product Price Index(no change)3.9%3.9%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBearish change191K198K
Initial Jobless Claims 4-week averageBearish change196.25K198.25K
Personal Consumption Expenditures Prices (QoQ)(no change)3.7%3.7%
Pending Home Sales (MoM)Bearish change8.1%0.8%
Housing Price Index (MoM)Bullish change-0.1%0.2%
S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices (YoY)Bearish change4.6%2.5%
S&P Global Composite PMIBullish change50.153.3
S&P Global Manufacturing PMIBullish change47.349.3
S&P Global Services PMIBullish change50.653.8
Durable Goods OrdersBullish change-5%-1%
Durable Goods Orders ex DefenseBullish change-5.6%-0.5%
Durable Goods Orders ex TransportationBearish change0.4%0%
Nondefense Capital Goods Orders ex AircraftBearish change0.3%0.2%
New Home Sales (MoM)Bullish change0.633M0.64M
Chicago Fed National Activity Index Bearish change0.23-0.19
Initial Jobless ClaimsBullish change192K191K
Initial Jobless Claims 4-week averageBullish change196.5K196.25K
Fed Interest Rate DecisionBullish change4.75%5%
Interest Rate Projections - 1st yearBullish change4.1%4.3%
Interest Rate Projections - 2nd year(no change)3.1%3.1%
Interest Rate Projections - Current(no change)5.1%5.1%
Interest Rate Projections - Longer(no change)2.5%2.5%

About Retail Sales (MoM)

Country:United States
Currency:USD
Source:US Census Bureau
Category:Consumption
Frequency:Monthly

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