X

Initial Jobless Claims

Every Thursday, the US Department of Labor publishes the number of previous week’s initial claims for unemployment benefits in the US. Since this reading could be highly volatile, investors may pay closer attention to the four-week average. A downtrend is seen as a sign of an improving labour market and could have a positive impact on the USD’s performance against its rivals and vice versa.

Most recent - Thursday 1 June 2023 12:30

Previous
230K
Revised
230K
Forecast
235K
Actual
232K

Higher numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for USD/xxx pairs and bearish for xxx/USD pairs.

Next event - Thursday 8 June 2023 12:30

Previous
232K
Forecast
-
Actual
-

The typical/expected impact on USD pairs is medium.

There is no forecast value for Initial Jobless Claims yet - check back for updates.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Initial Jobless Claims was 232K against a forecast of 235K.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Thursday 1 June 2023 12:30
235K
232K
Thursday 25 May 2023 12:30
245K
229K
Thursday 18 May 2023 12:30
254K
242K
Thursday 11 May 2023 12:30
245K
264K
Thursday 4 May 2023 12:30
240K
242K
Thursday 27 April 2023 12:30
248K
230K
Thursday 20 April 2023 12:30
240K
245K
Thursday 13 April 2023 12:30
232K
239K
Thursday 6 April 2023 12:30
200K
228K
Thursday 30 March 2023 12:30
196K
198K
Thursday 23 March 2023 12:30
201K
191K
Thursday 16 March 2023 12:30
205K
192K
Thursday 9 March 2023 13:30
195K
211K
Thursday 2 March 2023 13:30
195K
190K
Thursday 23 February 2023 13:30
200K
192K
Thursday 16 February 2023 13:30
200K
194K
Thursday 9 February 2023 13:30
190K
196K
Thursday 2 February 2023 13:30
200K
183K
Thursday 26 January 2023 13:30
205K
186K
Thursday 19 January 2023 13:30
214K
190K
Thursday 12 January 2023 13:30
215K
205K
Thursday 5 January 2023 13:30
225K
204K
Thursday 29 December 2022 13:30
-
225K
Thursday 22 December 2022 13:30
222K
216K
Thursday 15 December 2022 13:30
230K
211K
Thursday 8 December 2022 13:30
230K
230K
Thursday 1 December 2022 13:30
235K
225K
Wednesday 23 November 2022 13:30
225K
240K
Thursday 17 November 2022 13:30
225K
222K
Thursday 10 November 2022 13:30
220K
225K
Thursday 3 November 2022 12:30
220K
217K
Thursday 27 October 2022 12:30
220K
217K
Thursday 20 October 2022 12:30
230K
214K
Thursday 13 October 2022 12:30
225K
228K
Thursday 6 October 2022 12:30
200K
219K
Thursday 29 September 2022 12:30
215K
193K
Thursday 22 September 2022 12:30
218K
213K
Thursday 15 September 2022 12:30
226K
213K
Thursday 8 September 2022 12:30
240K
222K
Thursday 1 September 2022 12:30
248K
232K
Thursday 25 August 2022 12:30
253K
243K
Thursday 18 August 2022 12:30
265K
250K
Thursday 11 August 2022 12:30
263K
262K
Thursday 4 August 2022 12:30
259K
260K
Thursday 28 July 2022 12:30
253K
256K
Thursday 21 July 2022 12:30
240K
251K
Thursday 14 July 2022 12:30
235K
244K
Thursday 7 July 2022 12:30
230K
235K
Thursday 30 June 2022 12:30
228K
231K
Thursday 23 June 2022 12:30
227K
229K
Thursday 16 June 2022 12:30
-
229K
Thursday 9 June 2022 12:30
210K
229K
Thursday 2 June 2022 12:30
210K
200K
Thursday 26 May 2022 12:30
215K
210K
Thursday 19 May 2022 12:30
200K
218K
Thursday 12 May 2022 12:30
195K
203K
Thursday 5 May 2022 12:30
182K
200K
Thursday 28 April 2022 12:30
180K
180K
Thursday 21 April 2022 12:30
180K
184K
Thursday 14 April 2022 12:30
171K
185K
Thursday 7 April 2022 12:30
200K
166K
Thursday 31 March 2022 12:30
197K
202K
Thursday 24 March 2022 12:30
212K
187K
Thursday 17 March 2022 12:30
220K
214K
Thursday 10 March 2022 13:30
216K
227K
Thursday 3 March 2022 13:30
225K
215K
Thursday 24 February 2022 13:30
235K
232K
Thursday 17 February 2022 13:30
219K
248K
Thursday 10 February 2022 13:30
230K
223K
Thursday 3 February 2022 13:30
245K
238K
Thursday 27 January 2022 13:30
260K
260K
Thursday 20 January 2022 13:30
220K
286K
Thursday 13 January 2022 13:30
200K
230K
Thursday 6 January 2022 13:30
197K
207K
Thursday 30 December 2021 13:30
208K
198K
Thursday 23 December 2021 13:30
205K
205K
Thursday 16 December 2021 13:30
195K
206K
Thursday 9 December 2021 13:30
215K
184K
Thursday 2 December 2021 13:30
240K
222K
Wednesday 24 November 2021 13:30
260K
199K
Thursday 18 November 2021 13:30
260K
268K
Wednesday 10 November 2021 13:30
-
267K
Thursday 4 November 2021 12:30
277K
269K
Thursday 28 October 2021 12:30
290K
281K
Thursday 21 October 2021 12:30
300K
290K
Thursday 14 October 2021 12:30
319K
293K
Thursday 7 October 2021 12:30
348K
326K
Thursday 30 September 2021 12:30
335K
362K
Thursday 23 September 2021 12:30
320K
351K
Thursday 16 September 2021 12:30
328K
332K
Thursday 9 September 2021 12:30
335K
310K
Thursday 2 September 2021 12:30
345K
340K
Thursday 26 August 2021 12:30
350K
353K
Thursday 19 August 2021 12:30
363K
348K
Thursday 12 August 2021 12:30
375K
375K
Thursday 5 August 2021 12:30
384K
385K
Thursday 29 July 2021 12:30
380K
400K
Thursday 22 July 2021 12:30
350K
419K
Thursday 15 July 2021 12:30
360K
360K
Thursday 8 July 2021 12:30
350K
373K
Thursday 1 July 2021 12:30
393K
364K
Thursday 24 June 2021 12:30
380K
411K
Thursday 17 June 2021 12:30
359K
412K
Thursday 10 June 2021 12:30
370K
376K
Thursday 3 June 2021 12:30
395K
385K
Thursday 27 May 2021 12:30
425K
406K
Thursday 20 May 2021 12:30
450K
444K
Thursday 13 May 2021 12:30
490K
473K
Thursday 6 May 2021 12:30
540K
498K
Thursday 29 April 2021 12:30
549K
553K
Thursday 22 April 2021 12:30
617K
547K
Thursday 15 April 2021 12:30
700K
576K
Thursday 8 April 2021 12:30
680K
744K
Thursday 1 April 2021 12:30
680K
719K
Thursday 25 March 2021 12:30
730K
684K
Thursday 18 March 2021 12:30
700K
770K
Thursday 11 March 2021 13:30
725K
712K
Thursday 4 March 2021 13:30
750K
745K
Thursday 25 February 2021 13:30
838K
730K
Thursday 18 February 2021 13:30
765K
861K
Thursday 11 February 2021 13:30
757K
793K
Thursday 4 February 2021 13:30
830K
779K
Thursday 28 January 2021 13:30
875K
847K
Thursday 21 January 2021 13:30
910K
900K
Thursday 14 January 2021 13:30
795K
965K
Thursday 7 January 2021 13:30
800K
787K
Thursday 31 December 2020 13:30
833K
787K
Wednesday 23 December 2020 13:30
885K
803K
Thursday 17 December 2020 13:30
800K
885K
Thursday 10 December 2020 13:30
725K
853K
Thursday 3 December 2020 13:30
775K
712K
Wednesday 25 November 2020 13:30
730K
778K
Thursday 19 November 2020 13:30
707K
742K
Thursday 12 November 2020 13:30
735K
709K
Thursday 5 November 2020 13:30
732K
751K
Thursday 29 October 2020 12:30
775K
751K
Thursday 22 October 2020 12:30
860K
787K
Thursday 15 October 2020 12:30
825K
898K
Thursday 8 October 2020 12:30
820K
840K
Thursday 1 October 2020 12:30
850K
837K
Thursday 24 September 2020 12:30
843K
870K
Thursday 17 September 2020 12:30
850K
860K
Thursday 10 September 2020 12:30
846K
884K
Thursday 3 September 2020 12:30
950K
881K
Thursday 27 August 2020 12:30
1000K
1006K
Thursday 20 August 2020 12:30
925K
1106K
Thursday 13 August 2020 12:30
1120K
963K
Thursday 6 August 2020 12:30
1415K
1186K
Thursday 30 July 2020 12:30
1450K
1434K
Thursday 23 July 2020 12:30
1300K
1416K
Thursday 16 July 2020 12:30
1250K
1300K
Thursday 9 July 2020 12:30
1375K
1314K
Thursday 2 July 2020 12:30
1355K
1427K
Thursday 25 June 2020 12:30
1300K
1480K
Thursday 18 June 2020 12:30
1300K
1508K
Thursday 11 June 2020 12:30
1550K
1542K
Thursday 4 June 2020 12:30
1800K
1877K

Economic context

Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Initial Jobless Claims result:

PreviousLatest
Average Hourly Earnings (MoM)Bearish change0.4%0.3%
Average Hourly Earnings (YoY)Bearish change4.4%4.3%
Labor Force Participation Rate(no change)62.6%62.6%
Nonfarm PayrollsBullish change294K339K
U6 Underemployment RateBearish change6.6%6.7%
Unemployment RateBearish change3.4%3.7%
ISM Manufacturing Employment IndexBullish change50.251.4
ISM Manufacturing New Orders IndexBearish change45.742.6
ISM Manufacturing PMIBearish change47.146.9
ISM Manufacturing Prices PaidBearish change53.244.2
S&P Global Manufacturing PMIBearish change48.548.4
Initial Jobless Claims 4-week averageBullish change232K229.5K
Nonfarm ProductivityBullish change-2.7%-2.1%
Unit Labor CostsBearish change6.3%4.2%
ADP Employment ChangeBearish change291K278K
Chicago Purchasing Managers' IndexBearish change48.640.4
Housing Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.7%0.6%
S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices (YoY)Bearish change0.4%-1.1%
Michigan Consumer Sentiment IndexBullish change57.759.2
UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation ExpectationBearish change3.2%3.1%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)Bullish change0.3%0.4%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)Bullish change4.6%4.7%
Durable Goods OrdersBearish change3.3%1.1%
Durable Goods Orders ex DefenseBearish change3.2%-0.6%
Durable Goods Orders ex TransportationBearish change0.3%-0.2%
Nondefense Capital Goods Orders ex AircraftBullish change-0.6%1.4%
Personal Income (MoM)Bullish change0.3%0.4%
Personal SpendingBullish change0.1%0.8%
Pending Home Sales (MoM)Bullish change-5.2%0%
Chicago Fed National Activity Index Bullish change-0.370.07
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (QoQ)Bullish change4.9%5%
Gross Domestic Product AnnualizedBullish change1.1%1.3%
Gross Domestic Product Price IndexBullish change4%4.2%
Initial Jobless Claims 4-week average(no change)231.75K231.75K
Personal Consumption Expenditures Prices (QoQ)(no change)4.2%4.2%
New Home Sales (MoM)Bullish change0.656M0.683M
S&P Global Composite PMIBullish change53.454.5
S&P Global Manufacturing PMIBearish change50.248.5
S&P Global Services PMIBullish change53.655.1

About Initial Jobless Claims

Country:United States
Currency:USD
Source:US Department of Labor
Category:Labor Market
Frequency:Weekly/week-based
 
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