Retail Sales ex-Fuel (MoM)

The Retail Sales ex-fuel released by the National Statistics is a measure of changes in sales of the British retail sector excluding fuel. It shows the performance of the retail sector in the short term. Percent changes reflect the rate of changes of such sales. The changes are widely followed as an indicator of consumer spending. A high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the Pound, while a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).

Most recent - Friday 22 March 2024 07:00

Previous
3.4%
Revised
3.4%
Forecast
-0.1%
Actual
0.2%

Higher numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for GBP/xxx pairs and bearish for xxx/GBP pairs.

Next event - Friday 19 April 2024 06:00

Previous
0.2%
Forecast
-
Actual
-

The typical/expected impact on GBP pairs is medium.

There is no forecast value for Retail Sales ex-Fuel (MoM) yet - check back for updates.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Retail Sales ex-Fuel (MoM) was 0.2% against a forecast of -0.1%.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Friday 22 March 2024 07:00
-0.1%
0.2%
Friday 16 February 2024 07:00
1.7%
3.2%
Friday 19 January 2024 07:00
-0.6%
-3.3%
Friday 22 December 2023 07:00
0.4%
1.3%
Friday 17 November 2023 07:00
0.4%
-0.1%
Friday 20 October 2023 06:00
-0.4%
-1%
Friday 22 September 2023 06:00
0.6%
0.6%
Friday 18 August 2023 06:00
-0.7%
-1.4%
Friday 21 July 2023 06:00
0.1%
0.8%
Friday 23 June 2023 06:00
-0.3%
0.1%
Friday 26 May 2023 06:00
0.3%
0.8%
Friday 21 April 2023 06:00
-0.7%
-1%
Friday 24 March 2023 07:00
0.1%
1.5%
Friday 17 February 2023 07:00
0%
0.4%
Friday 20 January 2023 07:00
0.4%
-1.1%
Friday 16 December 2022 07:00
0.3%
-0.3%
Friday 18 November 2022 07:00
0.6%
0.3%
Friday 21 October 2022 06:00
-0.3%
-1.5%
Friday 16 September 2022 06:00
-0.7%
-1.6%
Friday 19 August 2022 06:00
-0.2%
0.4%
Friday 22 July 2022 06:00
-0.4%
0.4%
Friday 24 June 2022 06:00
-1%
-0.7%
Friday 20 May 2022 06:00
-0.2%
1.4%
Friday 22 April 2022 06:00
-0.4%
-1.1%
Friday 25 March 2022 07:00
0.5%
-0.7%
Friday 18 February 2022 07:00
1.2%
1.7%
Friday 21 January 2022 07:00
-0.5%
-3.6%
Friday 17 December 2021 07:00
-
1.1%
Friday 19 November 2021 07:00
0.6%
1.6%
Friday 22 October 2021 06:00
0.2%
-0.6%
Friday 17 September 2021 06:00
0.8%
-1.2%
Friday 20 August 2021 06:00
0.3%
-2.4%
Friday 23 July 2021 06:00
0.6%
0.3%
Friday 18 June 2021 06:00
1.5%
-2.1%
Friday 21 May 2021 06:00
4.2%
9%
Friday 23 April 2021 06:00
1.9%
4.9%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been moderately bearish for GBP. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Retail Sales ex-Fuel (MoM) result:

PreviousLatest
Gross Domestic Product (QoQ)(no change)-0.3%-0.3%
Gross Domestic Product (YoY)(no change)-0.2%-0.2%
Retail Sales (MoM)Bearish change3.6%0%
Retail Sales (YoY)Bearish change0.5%-0.4%
Retail Sales ex-Fuel (YoY)Bearish change0.5%-0.5%
GfK Consumer Confidence(no change)-21-21
BoE MPC Vote Rate Cut(no change)11
BoE MPC Vote Rate HikeBearish change20
S&P Global/CIPS Composite PMIBearish change5352.9
S&P Global/CIPS Manufacturing PMIBullish change47.549.9
S&P Global/CIPS Services PMIBearish change53.853.4
Consumer Price Index (MoM)Bullish change-0.6%0.6%
Consumer Price Index (YoY)Bearish change4%3.4%
Core Consumer Price Index (YoY)Bearish change5.1%4.5%
PPI Core Output (MoM) n.s.aBearish change0.3%0.2%
PPI Core Output (YoY) n.s.a Bullish change-0.3%0.3%
Producer Price Index - Output (MoM) n.s.aBullish change0%0.3%
Producer Price Index - Output (YoY) n.s.aBullish change-0.3%0.4%
Retail Price Index (MoM)Bullish change-0.3%0.8%
Retail Price Index (YoY)Bearish change4.9%4.5%

About Retail Sales ex-Fuel (MoM)

Country:United Kingdom
Currency:GBP
Source:Office for National Statistics
Category:Consumption
Frequency:Monthly

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