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U6 Underemployment Rate

The U6 or underemployment rate, released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, considers anyone who has looked for a job within a year and desires to work as unemployed. It adds those workers who are part-time purely for economic reasons. Its wider and more realistic criteria are considered by many economists. Many analysts consider it a more accurate measure of unemployment.

Usually, a higher rate is seen in recessionary economies, while on the ​contrary, a growing economy sees its underemployment rate decreasing. Therefore, a decrease of the figure is seen as positive (or bullish) for the USD, while an increase is seen as negative (or bearish). The number can't determinate just by itself how the markets move, as it depends on the headline reading, the Nonfarm Payrolls.

Most recent - Friday 2 June 2023 12:30

Previous
6.6%
Revised
-
Forecast
6.6%
Actual
6.7%

Lower numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for xxx/USD pairs and bearish for USD/xxx pairs.

Next event - Friday 7 July 2023 12:30

Previous
-
Forecast
-
Actual
-

The typical/expected impact on USD pairs is medium.

There is no forecast value for U6 Underemployment Rate yet - check back for updates.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for U6 Underemployment Rate was 6.7% against a forecast of 6.6%.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Friday 2 June 2023 12:30
6.6%
6.7%
Friday 5 May 2023 12:30
6.7%
6.6%
Friday 7 April 2023 12:30
6.7%
6.7%
Friday 10 March 2023 13:30
6.5%
6.8%
Friday 3 February 2023 13:30
6.6%
6.6%
Friday 6 January 2023 13:30
6.7%
6.5%
Friday 2 December 2022 13:30
-
6.7%
Friday 4 November 2022 12:30
6.8%
6.8%
Friday 7 October 2022 12:30
6.8%
6.7%
Friday 2 September 2022 12:30
6.7%
7%
Friday 5 August 2022 12:30
-
6.7%
Friday 8 July 2022 12:30
7%
6.7%
Friday 3 June 2022 12:30
6.9%
7.1%
Friday 6 May 2022 12:30
7%
7%
Friday 1 April 2022 12:30
-
6.9%
Friday 4 March 2022 13:30
7.2%
7.2%
Friday 4 February 2022 13:30
7.5%
7.1%
Friday 7 January 2022 13:30
8%
7.3%
Friday 3 December 2021 13:30
8.4%
7.8%
Friday 5 November 2021 12:30
-
8.3%
Friday 8 October 2021 12:30
9%
8.5%
Friday 3 September 2021 12:30
9.5%
8.8%
Friday 6 August 2021 12:30
10%
9.2%
Friday 2 July 2021 12:30
-
9.8%
Friday 4 June 2021 12:30
-
10.2%
Friday 7 May 2021 12:30
-
10.4%
Friday 2 April 2021 12:30
-
10.7%
Friday 5 March 2021 13:30
-
11.1%
Friday 5 February 2021 13:30
-
11.1%
Friday 8 January 2021 13:30
-
11.7%
Friday 4 December 2020 13:30
-
12%
Friday 6 November 2020 13:30
-
12.1%
Friday 2 October 2020 12:30
15.4%
12.8%
Friday 4 September 2020 12:30
17.3%
14.2%
Friday 7 August 2020 12:30
19.7%
16.5%
Thursday 2 July 2020 12:30
-
18%
Friday 5 June 2020 12:30
-
21.2%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next U6 Underemployment Rate result:

PreviousLatest
Average Hourly Earnings (MoM)Bearish change0.4%0.3%
Average Hourly Earnings (YoY)Bearish change4.4%4.3%
Labor Force Participation Rate(no change)62.6%62.6%
Nonfarm PayrollsBullish change294K339K
Unemployment RateBearish change3.4%3.7%
ISM Manufacturing Employment IndexBullish change50.251.4
ISM Manufacturing New Orders IndexBearish change45.742.6
ISM Manufacturing PMIBearish change47.146.9
ISM Manufacturing Prices PaidBearish change53.244.2
S&P Global Manufacturing PMIBearish change48.548.4
Initial Jobless ClaimsBearish change230K232K
Initial Jobless Claims 4-week averageBullish change232K229.5K
Nonfarm ProductivityBullish change-2.7%-2.1%
Unit Labor CostsBearish change6.3%4.2%
ADP Employment ChangeBearish change291K278K
Chicago Purchasing Managers' IndexBearish change48.640.4
Housing Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.7%0.6%
S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices (YoY)Bearish change0.4%-1.1%
Michigan Consumer Sentiment IndexBullish change57.759.2
UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation ExpectationBearish change3.2%3.1%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)Bullish change0.3%0.4%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)Bullish change4.6%4.7%
Durable Goods OrdersBearish change3.3%1.1%
Durable Goods Orders ex DefenseBearish change3.2%-0.6%
Durable Goods Orders ex TransportationBearish change0.3%-0.2%
Nondefense Capital Goods Orders ex AircraftBullish change-0.6%1.4%
Personal Income (MoM)Bullish change0.3%0.4%
Personal SpendingBullish change0.1%0.8%
Pending Home Sales (MoM)Bullish change-5.2%0%
Chicago Fed National Activity Index Bullish change-0.370.07
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (QoQ)Bullish change4.9%5%
Gross Domestic Product AnnualizedBullish change1.1%1.3%
Gross Domestic Product Price IndexBullish change4%4.2%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBearish change225K229K
Initial Jobless Claims 4-week average(no change)231.75K231.75K
Personal Consumption Expenditures Prices (QoQ)(no change)4.2%4.2%
New Home Sales (MoM)Bullish change0.656M0.683M
S&P Global Composite PMIBullish change53.454.5
S&P Global Manufacturing PMIBearish change50.248.5
S&P Global Services PMIBullish change53.655.1

About U6 Underemployment Rate

Country:United States
Currency:USD
Source:US Bureau of Labor Statistics
Category:Labor Market
Frequency:Monthly
 
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