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Retail Sales ex-Fuel (YoY)

The Retail Sales ex-fuel released by the National Statistics is a measure of changes in sales of the British retail sector excluding fuel. It shows the performance of the retail sector in the short term. Percent changes reflect the rate of changes of such sales. The changes are widely followed as an indicator of consumer spending. A high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the Pound, while a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).

Most recent - Friday 26 May 2023 06:00

Previous
-4%
Revised
-4%
Forecast
-2.8%
Actual
-2.6%

Higher numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for GBP/xxx pairs and bearish for xxx/GBP pairs.

Next event - Friday 23 June 2023 06:00

Previous
-2.6%
Forecast
-
Actual
-

The typical/expected impact on GBP pairs is medium.

There is no forecast value for Retail Sales ex-Fuel (YoY) yet - check back for updates.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Retail Sales ex-Fuel (YoY) was -2.6% against a forecast of -2.8%.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Friday 26 May 2023 06:00
-2.8%
-2.6%
Friday 21 April 2023 06:00
-3.1%
-3.2%
Friday 24 March 2023 07:00
-4.7%
-3.3%
Friday 17 February 2023 07:00
-5.3%
-5.3%
Friday 20 January 2023 07:00
-4.4%
-6.1%
Friday 16 December 2022 07:00
-5.8%
-5.9%
Friday 18 November 2022 07:00
-6.7%
-6.7%
Friday 21 October 2022 06:00
-4.1%
-6.2%
Friday 16 September 2022 06:00
-3.4%
-5%
Friday 19 August 2022 06:00
-3.1%
-3%
Friday 22 July 2022 06:00
-6.3%
-5.9%
Friday 24 June 2022 06:00
-5.1%
-5.7%
Friday 20 May 2022 06:00
-8.4%
-6.1%
Friday 22 April 2022 06:00
0.7%
-0.6%
Friday 25 March 2022 07:00
5.6%
4.6%
Friday 18 February 2022 07:00
7.9%
7.2%
Friday 21 January 2022 07:00
1.1%
-3%
Friday 17 December 2021 07:00
-
2.7%
Friday 19 November 2021 07:00
-3.1%
-1.9%
Friday 22 October 2021 06:00
-1.7%
-2.6%
Friday 17 September 2021 06:00
2.5%
-0.9%
Friday 20 August 2021 06:00
5.7%
1.8%
Friday 23 July 2021 06:00
8.2%
7.4%
Friday 18 June 2021 06:00
27.3%
21.7%
Friday 21 May 2021 06:00
31.7%
37.7%
Friday 23 April 2021 06:00
4.5%
7.9%
Friday 26 March 2021 07:00
-1.5%
-1.1%
Friday 19 February 2021 07:00
2.2%
-3.8%
Friday 22 January 2021 07:00
7%
6.4%
Friday 18 December 2020 07:00
4.1%
5.6%
Friday 20 November 2020 07:00
5.9%
7.8%
Friday 23 October 2020 06:00
5%
6.4%
Friday 18 September 2020 06:00
4.2%
4.3%
Friday 21 August 2020 06:00
1.5%
3.1%
Friday 24 July 2020 06:00
-3.7%
1.7%
Friday 19 June 2020 06:00
-14.4%
-9.8%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for GBP. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Retail Sales ex-Fuel (YoY) result:

PreviousLatest
S&P Global/CIPS Manufacturing PMIBullish change46.947.1
Retail Sales (MoM)Bullish change-1.2%0.5%
Retail Sales (YoY)Bullish change-3.9%-3%
Retail Sales ex-Fuel (MoM)Bullish change-1.4%0.8%
Consumer Price Index (MoM)Bullish change0.8%1.2%
Consumer Price Index (YoY)Bearish change10.1%8.7%
Core Consumer Price Index (YoY)Bullish change6.2%6.8%
PPI Core Output (MoM) n.s.aBearish change0.3%0%
PPI Core Output (YoY) n.s.a Bearish change8.3%6%
Retail Price Index (MoM)Bullish change0.7%1.5%
Retail Price Index (YoY)Bearish change13.5%11.4%
S&P Global/CIPS Composite PMIBearish change54.953.9
S&P Global/CIPS Manufacturing PMIBearish change47.846.9
S&P Global/CIPS Services PMIBearish change55.955.1

About Retail Sales ex-Fuel (YoY)

Country:United Kingdom
Currency:GBP
Source:Office for National Statistics
Category:Consumption
Frequency:Monthly
 
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