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Average Hourly Earnings (YoY)

The Average Hourly Earning released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics is a significant indicator of labor cost inflation and of the tightness of labor markets. The Federal Reserve Board pays close attention to when setting interest rates. A high reading is also positive for the USD, while a low reading is negative.

Most recent - Friday 2 June 2023 12:30

Previous
4.4%
Revised
-
Forecast
4.4%
Actual
4.3%

Lower numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for xxx/USD pairs and bearish for USD/xxx pairs.

Next event - Friday 7 July 2023 12:30

Previous
4.3%
Forecast
-
Actual
-

The typical/expected impact on USD pairs is medium.

There is no forecast value for Average Hourly Earnings (YoY) yet - check back for updates.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Average Hourly Earnings (YoY) was 4.3% against a forecast of 4.4%.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Friday 2 June 2023 12:30
4.4%
4.3%
Friday 5 May 2023 12:30
4.2%
4.4%
Friday 7 April 2023 12:30
4.3%
4.2%
Friday 10 March 2023 13:30
4.7%
4.6%
Friday 3 February 2023 13:30
4.9%
4.4%
Friday 6 January 2023 13:30
5%
4.6%
Friday 2 December 2022 13:30
4.6%
5.1%
Friday 4 November 2022 12:30
4.7%
4.7%
Friday 7 October 2022 12:30
5.1%
5%
Friday 2 September 2022 12:30
5.3%
5.2%
Friday 5 August 2022 12:30
4.9%
5.2%
Friday 8 July 2022 12:30
5%
5.1%
Friday 3 June 2022 12:30
5.2%
5.2%
Friday 6 May 2022 12:30
5.5%
5.5%
Friday 1 April 2022 12:30
5.5%
5.6%
Friday 4 March 2022 13:30
5.8%
5.1%
Friday 4 February 2022 13:30
5.2%
5.7%
Friday 7 January 2022 13:30
4.2%
4.7%
Friday 3 December 2021 13:30
5%
4.8%
Friday 5 November 2021 12:30
4.8%
4.9%
Friday 8 October 2021 12:30
4.6%
4.6%
Friday 3 September 2021 12:30
4%
4.3%
Friday 6 August 2021 12:30
3.8%
4%
Friday 2 July 2021 12:30
3.7%
3.6%
Friday 4 June 2021 12:30
-0.4%
2%
Friday 7 May 2021 12:30
-0.4%
0.3%
Friday 2 April 2021 12:30
4.5%
4.2%
Friday 5 March 2021 13:30
5.3%
5.3%
Friday 5 February 2021 13:30
5.1%
5.4%
Friday 8 January 2021 13:30
4.4%
5.1%
Friday 4 December 2020 13:30
4.3%
4.4%
Friday 6 November 2020 13:30
4.6%
4.5%
Friday 2 October 2020 12:30
4.8%
4.7%
Friday 4 September 2020 12:30
4.5%
4.7%
Friday 7 August 2020 12:30
4.2%
4.8%
Thursday 2 July 2020 12:30
5.3%
5%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been moderately bearish for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Average Hourly Earnings (YoY) result:

PreviousLatest
Goods and Services Trade BalanceBearish change$-60.6B$-74.6B
Factory Orders (MoM)Bearish change0.9%0.4%
ISM Services Employment IndexBearish change50.849.2
ISM Services New Orders IndexBearish change56.152.9
ISM Services PMIBearish change51.950.3
ISM Services Prices PaidBearish change59.656.2
S&P Global Composite PMIBearish change54.554.3
S&P Global Services PMIBearish change55.154.9
Average Hourly Earnings (MoM)Bearish change0.4%0.3%
Labor Force Participation Rate(no change)62.6%62.6%
Nonfarm PayrollsBullish change294K339K
U6 Underemployment RateBearish change6.6%6.7%
Unemployment RateBearish change3.4%3.7%
ISM Manufacturing Employment IndexBullish change50.251.4
ISM Manufacturing New Orders IndexBearish change45.742.6
ISM Manufacturing PMIBearish change47.146.9
ISM Manufacturing Prices PaidBearish change53.244.2
S&P Global Manufacturing PMIBearish change48.548.4
Initial Jobless ClaimsBearish change230K232K
Initial Jobless Claims 4-week averageBullish change232K229.5K
Nonfarm ProductivityBullish change-2.7%-2.1%
Unit Labor CostsBearish change6.3%4.2%
ADP Employment ChangeBearish change291K278K
Chicago Purchasing Managers' IndexBearish change48.640.4
Housing Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.7%0.6%
S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices (YoY)Bearish change0.4%-1.1%
Michigan Consumer Sentiment IndexBullish change57.759.2
UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation ExpectationBearish change3.2%3.1%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)Bullish change0.3%0.4%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)Bullish change4.6%4.7%
Durable Goods OrdersBearish change3.3%1.1%
Durable Goods Orders ex DefenseBearish change3.2%-0.6%
Durable Goods Orders ex TransportationBearish change0.3%-0.2%
Nondefense Capital Goods Orders ex AircraftBullish change-0.6%1.4%
Personal Income (MoM)Bullish change0.3%0.4%
Personal SpendingBullish change0.1%0.8%
Pending Home Sales (MoM)Bullish change-5.2%0%
Chicago Fed National Activity Index Bullish change-0.370.07
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (QoQ)Bullish change4.9%5%
Gross Domestic Product AnnualizedBullish change1.1%1.3%
Gross Domestic Product Price IndexBullish change4%4.2%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBearish change225K229K
Initial Jobless Claims 4-week average(no change)231.75K231.75K
Personal Consumption Expenditures Prices (QoQ)(no change)4.2%4.2%

About Average Hourly Earnings (YoY)

Country:United States
Currency:USD
Source:US Bureau of Labor Statistics
Category:Labor Market
Frequency:Monthly
 
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