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Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM)

The Retail Sales ex Autos released by the US Census Bureau is a monthly data that shows all goods sold by retailers based on a sampling of retail stores of different types and sizes except the automobile sector. The retail sales index is often taken as an indicator of consumer confidence. This report is the "advance" report, which can be revised fairly significantly after the final numbers are calculated. The positive economic growth anticipates bullish movements for the USD.

Most recent - Thursday 14 September 2023 12:30

Previous
0.7%
Revised
0.7%
Forecast
0.4%
Actual
0.6%

Higher numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for USD/xxx pairs and bearish for xxx/USD pairs.

Next event - Tuesday 17 October 2023 12:30

Previous
0.6%
Forecast
-
Actual
-

The typical/expected impact on USD pairs is medium.

There is no forecast value for Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM) yet - check back for updates.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM) was 0.6% against a forecast of 0.4%.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Thursday 14 September 2023 12:30
0.4%
0.6%
Tuesday 15 August 2023 12:30
0.4%
1%
Tuesday 18 July 2023 12:30
0.3%
0.2%
Thursday 15 June 2023 12:30
0.1%
0.1%
Tuesday 16 May 2023 12:30
0.4%
0.4%
Friday 14 April 2023 12:30
-0.3%
-0.8%
Wednesday 15 March 2023 12:30
-0.1%
-0.1%
Wednesday 15 February 2023 13:30
0.8%
2.3%
Wednesday 18 January 2023 13:30
-0.4%
-1.1%
Thursday 15 December 2022 13:30
0.2%
-0.2%
Wednesday 16 November 2022 13:30
0.4%
1.3%
Friday 14 October 2022 12:30
-0.1%
0.1%
Thursday 15 September 2022 12:30
0.1%
-0.3%
Wednesday 17 August 2022 12:30
-0.1%
0.4%
Friday 15 July 2022 12:30
0.6%
1%
Wednesday 15 June 2022 12:30
0.8%
0.5%
Tuesday 17 May 2022 12:30
0.3%
0.6%
Thursday 14 April 2022 12:30
1%
1.1%
Wednesday 16 March 2022 12:30
0.9%
0.2%
Wednesday 16 February 2022 13:30
0.8%
3.3%
Friday 14 January 2022 13:30
0.2%
-2.3%
Wednesday 15 December 2021 13:30
0.9%
0.3%
Tuesday 16 November 2021 13:30
1%
1.7%
Friday 15 October 2021 12:30
0.5%
0.8%
Thursday 16 September 2021 12:30
-0.2%
1.8%
Tuesday 17 August 2021 12:30
0.1%
-0.4%
Friday 16 July 2021 12:30
0.4%
1.3%
Tuesday 15 June 2021 12:30
0.2%
-0.7%
Friday 14 May 2021 12:30
0.7%
-0.8%
Thursday 15 April 2021 12:30
5%
8.4%
Tuesday 16 March 2021 12:30
-0.1%
-2.7%
Wednesday 17 February 2021 13:30
1%
5.9%
Friday 15 January 2021 13:30
-0.1%
-1.4%
Wednesday 16 December 2020 13:30
0.1%
-0.9%
Tuesday 17 November 2020 13:30
0.6%
0.2%
Friday 16 October 2020 12:30
0.5%
1.5%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM) result:

PreviousLatest
S&P Global Composite PMIBearish change50.250.1
S&P Global Manufacturing PMIBullish change47.948.9
S&P Global Services PMIBearish change50.550.2
Existing Home Sales Change (MoM)Bullish change-2.2%-0.7%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBullish change221K201K
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing SurveyBearish change12-13.5
Fed Interest Rate Decision(no change)5.5%5.5%
Interest Rate Projections - 1st yearBullish change4.6%5.1%
Interest Rate Projections - 2nd yearBullish change3.4%3.9%
Interest Rate Projections - 3rd yearBearish change3.1%2.9%
Interest Rate Projections - Current(no change)5.6%5.6%
Interest Rate Projections - Longer(no change)2.5%2.5%
Building Permits (MoM)Bullish change1.443M1.543M
Housing Starts (MoM)Bearish change1.447M1.283M
Michigan Consumer Sentiment IndexBearish change69.567.7
UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation ExpectationBearish change3%2.7%
Industrial Production (MoM)Bearish change0.7%0.4%
NY Empire State Manufacturing IndexBullish change-191.9
Initial Jobless ClaimsBearish change217K220K
Producer Price Index (MoM)Bullish change0.4%0.7%
Producer Price Index (YoY)Bullish change0.8%1.6%
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM)Bearish change0.4%0.2%
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)Bearish change2.4%2.2%
Retail Sales (MoM)Bullish change0.5%0.6%
Retail Sales Control GroupBearish change0.7%0.1%
Monthly Budget StatementBullish change$-221B$89B
Consumer Price Index (MoM)Bullish change0.2%0.6%
Consumer Price Index (YoY)Bullish change3.2%3.7%
Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM)Bullish change0.2%0.3%
Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)Bearish change4.7%4.3%

About Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM)

Country:United States
Currency:USD
Source:US Census Bureau
Category:Consumption
Frequency:Monthly

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