Durable Goods Orders

The Durable Goods Orders, released by the US Census Bureau, measures the cost of orders received by manufacturers for durable goods, which means goods planned to last for three years or more, such as motor vehicles and appliances. As those durable products often involve large investments they are sensitive to the US economic situation. The final figure shows the state of US production activity. Generally speaking, a high reading is bullish for the USD.

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Most recent - Thursday 24 August 2023 12:30

4.7%

Revised

4.4%

Forecast

-4%

Actual

-5.2%

Lower numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for xxx/USD pairs and bearish for USD/xxx pairs.

Next event - Wednesday 27 September 2023 12:30

-5.2%

Forecast

-0.4%

Actual

The typical/expected impact on USD pairs is medium.

The consensus forecast for Durable Goods Orders is -0.4%. A higher value than forecast tends to be bullish for USD/xxx pairs and bearish for xxx/USD pairs.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Durable Goods Orders was -5.2% against a forecast of -4%.

Past events

Date

Forecast

Actual

Thursday 24 August 2023 12:30

-4%

-5.2%

Thursday 27 July 2023 12:30

4.7%

Tuesday 27 June 2023 12:30

-1%

1.7%

Friday 26 May 2023 12:30

-1%

1.1%

Wednesday 26 April 2023 12:30

0.8%

3.2%

Friday 24 March 2023 12:30

0.6%

-1%

Monday 27 February 2023 13:30

-4%

-4.5%

Thursday 26 January 2023 13:30

2.5%

5.6%

Friday 23 December 2022 13:30

-0.6%

-2.1%

Wednesday 23 November 2022 13:30

0.4%

Thursday 27 October 2022 12:30

0.6%

0.4%

Tuesday 27 September 2022 12:30

-0.4%

-0.2%

Wednesday 24 August 2022 12:30

0.6%

Wednesday 27 July 2022 12:30

-0.4%

1.9%

Monday 27 June 2022 12:30

0.1%

0.7%

Wednesday 25 May 2022 12:30

0.6%

0.4%

Tuesday 26 April 2022 12:30

0.8%

Thursday 24 March 2022 12:30

-0.5%

-2.2%

Friday 25 February 2022 13:30

0.8%

1.6%

Thursday 27 January 2022 13:30

-0.5%

-0.9%

Thursday 23 December 2021 13:30

1.6%

2.5%

Wednesday 24 November 2021 13:30

0.2%

-0.5%

Wednesday 27 October 2021 12:30

-1.1%

-0.4%

Monday 27 September 2021 12:30

0.7%

1.8%

Wednesday 25 August 2021 12:30

-0.3%

-0.1%

Tuesday 27 July 2021 12:30

2.1%

0.8%

Thursday 24 June 2021 12:30

2.7%

2.3%

Thursday 27 May 2021 12:30

0.7%

-1.3%

Monday 26 April 2021 12:30

2.5%

0.5%

Wednesday 24 March 2021 12:30

0.8%

-1.1%

Thursday 25 February 2021 13:30

1.1%

3.4%

Wednesday 27 January 2021 13:30

0.9%

0.2%

Wednesday 23 December 2020 13:30

0.6%

0.9%

Wednesday 25 November 2020 13:30

0.9%

1.3%

Tuesday 27 October 2020 12:30

0.5%

1.9%

Friday 25 September 2020 12:30

1.5%

0.4%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Durable Goods Orders result:

		Previous	Latest
S&P Global Composite PMI	Bearish change	50.2	50.1
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI	Bullish change	47.9	48.9
S&P Global Services PMI	Bearish change	50.5	50.2
Existing Home Sales Change (MoM)	Bullish change	-2.2%	-0.7%
Initial Jobless Claims	Bullish change	221K	201K
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey	Bearish change	12	-13.5
Fed Interest Rate Decision	(no change)	5.5%	5.5%
Interest Rate Projections - 1st year	Bullish change	4.6%	5.1%
Interest Rate Projections - 2nd year	Bullish change	3.4%	3.9%
Interest Rate Projections - 3rd year	Bearish change	3.1%	2.9%
Interest Rate Projections - Current	(no change)	5.6%	5.6%
Interest Rate Projections - Longer	(no change)	2.5%	2.5%
Building Permits (MoM)	Bullish change	1.443M	1.543M
Housing Starts (MoM)	Bearish change	1.447M	1.283M
Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index	Bearish change	69.5	67.7
UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation	Bearish change	3%	2.7%
Industrial Production (MoM)	Bearish change	0.7%	0.4%
NY Empire State Manufacturing Index	Bullish change	-19	1.9
Initial Jobless Claims	Bearish change	217K	220K
Producer Price Index (MoM)	Bullish change	0.4%	0.7%
Producer Price Index (YoY)	Bullish change	0.8%	1.6%
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM)	Bearish change	0.4%	0.2%
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)	Bearish change	2.4%	2.2%
Retail Sales (MoM)	Bullish change	0.5%	0.6%
Retail Sales Control Group	Bearish change	0.7%	0.1%
Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM)	Bearish change	0.7%	0.6%
Monthly Budget Statement	Bullish change	$-221B	$89B
Consumer Price Index (MoM)	Bullish change	0.2%	0.6%
Consumer Price Index (YoY)	Bullish change	3.2%	3.7%
Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM)	Bullish change	0.2%	0.3%
Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)	Bearish change	4.7%	4.3%

About Durable Goods Orders

Country:	United States
Currency:	USD
Source:	US Census Bureau
Category:	Economic Activity
Frequency:	Monthly

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	China		Gross Domestic Product (QoQ)
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	Germany		S&P Global/BME Manufacturing PMI
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	Canada		Ivey Purchasing Managers Index
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	Germany		IFO – Business Climate
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	Eurozone		S&P Global Services PMI
	Eurozone		Industrial Production s.a. (MoM)
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	France		S&P Global Manufacturing PMI
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Calendar - Durable Goods Orders - United States

Durable Goods Orders

Most recent - Thursday 24 August 2023 12:30

Next event - Wednesday 27 September 2023 12:30

Trading range

Trading range after each Durable Goods Orders event

Forecast history

Past events

Economic context

About Durable Goods Orders

Related events