Retail Sales (MoM)

The retail Sales released by the National Statistics measures the total receipts of retail stores. Monthly percent changes reflect the rate of changes of such sales. Changes in Retail Sales are widely followed as an indicator of consumer spending. Generally speaking, a high reading is seen as positive, or bullish for the GBP, while a low reading is seen as negative or bearish.

Most recent - Friday 19 July 2024 06:00

Previous
2.9%
Revised
-
Forecast
-0.4%
Actual
-1.2%

Lower numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for xxx/GBP pairs and bearish for GBP/xxx pairs.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Retail Sales (MoM) was -1.2% against a forecast of -0.4%.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Friday 19 July 2024 06:00
-0.4%
-1.2%
Friday 21 June 2024 06:00
1.5%
2.9%
Friday 24 May 2024 06:00
-0.4%
-2.3%
Friday 19 April 2024 06:00
0.3%
0%
Friday 22 March 2024 07:00
-0.3%
0%
Friday 16 February 2024 07:00
1.5%
3.4%
Friday 19 January 2024 07:00
-0.5%
-3.2%
Friday 22 December 2023 07:00
0.4%
1.3%
Friday 17 November 2023 07:00
0.3%
-0.3%
Friday 20 October 2023 06:00
-0.1%
-0.9%
Friday 22 September 2023 06:00
0.5%
0.4%
Friday 18 August 2023 06:00
-0.5%
-1.2%
Friday 21 July 2023 06:00
0.2%
0.7%
Friday 23 June 2023 06:00
-0.2%
0.3%
Friday 26 May 2023 06:00
0.3%
0.5%
Friday 21 April 2023 06:00
-0.5%
-0.9%
Friday 24 March 2023 07:00
0.2%
1.2%
Friday 17 February 2023 07:00
-0.3%
0.5%
Friday 20 January 2023 07:00
0.5%
-1%
Friday 16 December 2022 07:00
0.3%
-0.4%
Friday 18 November 2022 07:00
0%
0.6%
Friday 21 October 2022 06:00
-0.5%
-1.4%
Friday 16 September 2022 06:00
-0.5%
-1.6%
Friday 19 August 2022 06:00
-0.2%
0.3%
Friday 22 July 2022 06:00
-0.3%
-0.1%
Friday 24 June 2022 06:00
-0.7%
-0.5%
Friday 20 May 2022 06:00
-0.2%
1.4%
Friday 22 April 2022 06:00
-0.3%
-1.4%
Friday 25 March 2022 07:00
0.6%
-0.3%
Friday 18 February 2022 07:00
1%
1.9%
Friday 21 January 2022 07:00
-0.6%
-3.7%
Friday 17 December 2021 07:00
-
1.4%
Friday 19 November 2021 07:00
0.5%
0.8%
Friday 22 October 2021 06:00
0.5%
-0.2%
Friday 17 September 2021 06:00
0.5%
-0.9%
Friday 20 August 2021 06:00
0.4%
-2.5%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for GBP. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Retail Sales (MoM) result:

PreviousLatest
30-y Bond AuctionBearish change4.43%4.636%
S&P Global/CIPS Composite PMIBullish change52.352.7
S&P Global/CIPS Manufacturing PMIBullish change50.951.8
S&P Global/CIPS Services PMIBullish change52.152.4
Retail Sales (YoY)Bearish change1.7%-0.2%
Retail Sales ex-Fuel (MoM)Bearish change2.9%-1.5%
Retail Sales ex-Fuel (YoY)Bearish change1.6%-0.8%
GfK Consumer ConfidenceBullish change-14-13
Average Earnings Excluding Bonus (3Mo/Yr)Bearish change6%5.7%
Average Earnings Including Bonus (3Mo/Yr)Bearish change5.9%5.7%
Claimant Count ChangeBullish change51.9K32.3K
Claimant Count RateBearish change4.3%4.4%
Employment ChangeBullish change-140K19K
ILO Unemployment Rate (3M)(no change)4.4%4.4%
Consumer Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.3%0.1%
Consumer Price Index (YoY)(no change)2%2%
Core Consumer Price Index (YoY)(no change)3.5%3.5%
PPI Core Output (MoM) n.s.aBearish change0.2%0.1%
PPI Core Output (YoY) n.s.a Bullish change1%1.1%
Producer Price Index - Output (MoM) n.s.aBearish change0%-0.3%
Producer Price Index - Output (YoY) n.s.aBearish change1.7%1.4%
Retail Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.4%0.2%
Retail Price Index (YoY)Bearish change3%2.9%

About Retail Sales (MoM)

Country:United Kingdom
Currency:GBP
Source:Office for National Statistics
Category:Consumption
Frequency:Monthly
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