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Retail Sales ex Autos (QoQ)

The quarterly release of Retail Sales by the Statistics New Zealand directly reflects on the country’s consumer spending. Stronger sales could drive inflation higher, leading the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) to hike interest rates so as to maintain its inflation-containment mandate. Thus, the indicator impacts the New Zealand dollar significantly. A better-than-expected print tends to be NZD bullish. The data is published about a month and a half after the quarter ends.

Most recent - Tuesday 22 August 2023 22:45

Previous
-1.1%
Revised
-1.6%
Forecast
-2.5%
Actual
-1.8%

Higher numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for NZD/xxx pairs and bearish for xxx/NZD pairs.

Next event - Tuesday 21 November 2023 21:45

Previous
-1.8%
Forecast
-
Actual
-

The typical/expected impact on NZD pairs is medium.

There is no forecast value for Retail Sales ex Autos (QoQ) yet - check back for updates.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Retail Sales ex Autos (QoQ) was -1.8% against a forecast of -2.5%.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Tuesday 22 August 2023 22:45
-2.5%
-1.8%
Tuesday 23 May 2023 22:45
-0.6%
-1.1%
Sunday 26 February 2023 21:45
1.7%
-1.3%
Thursday 24 November 2022 21:45
-3.3%
0.4%
Wednesday 24 August 2022 22:45
-
-1.6%
Monday 23 May 2022 22:45
-
0%
Thursday 24 February 2022 21:45
-2.7%
6.8%
Monday 22 November 2021 21:45
-
-6.7%
Monday 23 August 2021 22:45
-
3.4%
Sunday 23 May 2021 22:45
1.9%
3.2%
Monday 22 February 2021 21:45
23%
-3.1%
Sunday 22 November 2020 21:45
-12.6%
24.1%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been moderately bearish for NZD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Retail Sales ex Autos (QoQ) result:

PreviousLatest
ExportsBearish change$5.38B$4.99B
ImportsBullish change$6.55B$7.28B
Trade Balance NZD (YoY)Bullish change$-15.88B$-15.54B
Westpac Consumer SurveyBearish change83.180.2
Gross Domestic Product (QoQ)Bullish change0%0.9%
Gross Domestic Product (YoY)Bearish change2.2%1.8%
Business NZ PSIBearish change4847.1
Business NZ PMIBearish change46.646.1

About Retail Sales ex Autos (QoQ)

Country:New Zealand
Currency:NZD
Source:Stats NZ
Category:Consumption
Frequency:Quarterly
 
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