Monthly Budget Statement

The Monthly Budget Statement released by the Financial Management Service summarizes the financial activities of federal entities, disbursing officers, and Federal Reserve banks. A positive budget statement that receipts exceed budgetary outlays is seen as bullish for the USD. On the other hands, a negative figure (deficit) that indicates government debt is seen as bearish.

Most recent - Wednesday 12 June 2024 18:00


Lower numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for xxx/USD pairs and bearish for USD/xxx pairs.

Next event - Wednesday 10 July 2024 18:00


The typical/expected impact on USD pairs is medium.

There is no forecast value for Monthly Budget Statement yet - check back for updates.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Monthly Budget Statement was $-347B against a forecast of $-250B.

Past events

Wednesday 12 June 2024 18:00
Friday 10 May 2024 18:00
Wednesday 10 April 2024 18:00
Tuesday 12 March 2024 18:00
Monday 12 February 2024 19:00
Thursday 11 January 2024 19:00
Tuesday 12 December 2023 19:00
Monday 13 November 2023 19:00
Friday 20 October 2023 18:00
Wednesday 13 September 2023 18:00
Thursday 10 August 2023 18:00
Thursday 13 July 2023 18:00
Monday 12 June 2023 18:00
Wednesday 10 May 2023 18:00
Wednesday 12 April 2023 18:00
Friday 10 March 2023 19:00
Friday 10 February 2023 19:00
Thursday 12 January 2023 19:00
Monday 12 December 2022 19:00
Thursday 10 November 2022 19:00
Friday 21 October 2022 14:30
Tuesday 13 September 2022 18:00
Wednesday 10 August 2022 18:00
Wednesday 13 July 2022 18:00
Friday 10 June 2022 18:00
Wednesday 11 May 2022 18:00
Tuesday 12 April 2022 18:00
Thursday 10 March 2022 19:00
Thursday 10 February 2022 19:00
Wednesday 12 January 2022 19:00
Friday 10 December 2021 19:00
Wednesday 10 November 2021 19:00
Friday 22 October 2021 18:00
Monday 13 September 2021 18:00
Wednesday 11 August 2021 18:00
Tuesday 13 July 2021 18:00

Economic context

Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Monthly Budget Statement result:

Existing Home Sales Change (MoM)Bullish change-1.9%-0.7%
S&P Global Composite PMIBullish change54.554.6
S&P Global Manufacturing PMIBullish change51.351.7
S&P Global Services PMIBullish change54.855.1
Building Permits (MoM)Bearish change1.44M1.386M
Housing Starts (MoM)Bearish change1.352M1.277M
Initial Jobless ClaimsBullish change243K238K
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing SurveyBearish change4.51.3
Industrial Production (MoM)Bullish change0%0.9%
Retail Sales (MoM)Bullish change-0.2%0.1%
Retail Sales Control GroupBullish change-0.5%0.4%
Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM)(no change)-0.1%-0.1%
NY Empire State Manufacturing IndexBullish change-15.6-6
Michigan Consumer Sentiment IndexBearish change69.165.6
UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation ExpectationBullish change3%3.1%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBearish change229K242K
Producer Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.5%-0.2%
Producer Price Index (YoY)Bearish change2.3%2.2%
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM)Bearish change0.5%0%
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)Bearish change2.4%2.3%
Fed Interest Rate Decision(no change)5.5%5.5%
Interest Rate Projections - 1st yearBullish change3.9%4.1%
Interest Rate Projections - 2nd year(no change)3.1%3.1%
Interest Rate Projections - CurrentBullish change4.6%5.1%
Interest Rate Projections - LongerBullish change2.6%2.8%
Consumer Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.3%0%
Consumer Price Index (YoY)Bearish change3.4%3.3%
Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM)Bearish change0.3%0.2%
Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)Bearish change3.6%3.4%

About Monthly Budget Statement

Country:United States
Source:US Bureau of the Fiscal Service
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