X

Monthly Budget Statement

The Monthly Budget Statement released by the Financial Management Service summarizes the financial activities of federal entities, disbursing officers, and Federal Reserve banks. A positive budget statement that receipts exceed budgetary outlays is seen as bullish for the USD. On the other hands, a negative figure (deficit) that indicates government debt is seen as bearish.

Most recent - Wednesday 10 April 2024 18:00

Previous
$-296B
Revised
-
Forecast
$-197.5B
Actual
$-236B

Lower numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for xxx/USD pairs and bearish for USD/xxx pairs.

Next event - Tuesday 14 May 2024 18:00

Previous
$-236B
Forecast
-
Actual
-

The typical/expected impact on USD pairs is medium.

There is no forecast value for Monthly Budget Statement yet - check back for updates.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Monthly Budget Statement was $-236B against a forecast of $-197.5B.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Wednesday 10 April 2024 18:00
$-197.5B
$-236B
Tuesday 12 March 2024 18:00
$-299B
$-296B
Monday 12 February 2024 19:00
$-21B
$-22B
Thursday 11 January 2024 19:00
$-65.25B
$-129B
Tuesday 12 December 2023 19:00
$-301.05B
$-314B
Monday 13 November 2023 19:00
$-65B
$-67B
Friday 20 October 2023 18:00
$-78.6B
$-171B
Wednesday 13 September 2023 18:00
$-240B
$89B
Thursday 10 August 2023 18:00
$-109.3B
$-221B
Thursday 13 July 2023 18:00
$-175B
$-228B
Monday 12 June 2023 18:00
$-236B
$-240B
Wednesday 10 May 2023 18:00
$235B
$176B
Wednesday 12 April 2023 18:00
$-302B
$-378B
Friday 10 March 2023 19:00
$-256B
$-262B
Friday 10 February 2023 19:00
$-63B
$-39B
Thursday 12 January 2023 19:00
$-70B
$-85B
Monday 12 December 2022 19:00
-
$-249B
Thursday 10 November 2022 19:00
$-90B
$-88B
Friday 21 October 2022 14:30
-
$-430B
Tuesday 13 September 2022 18:00
$-213.5B
$-220B
Wednesday 10 August 2022 18:00
$-194B
$-211B
Wednesday 13 July 2022 18:00
$-76.5B
$-89B
Friday 10 June 2022 18:00
$-120B
$-66B
Wednesday 11 May 2022 18:00
$226B
$308B
Tuesday 12 April 2022 18:00
$-191B
$-193B
Thursday 10 March 2022 19:00
$-49.5B
$-217B
Thursday 10 February 2022 19:00
$25B
$119B
Wednesday 12 January 2022 19:00
-
$-21B
Friday 10 December 2021 19:00
$-195B
$-191B
Wednesday 10 November 2021 19:00
$-179B
$-165B
Friday 22 October 2021 18:00
$-60B
$-62B
Monday 13 September 2021 18:00
$-173B
$-171B
Wednesday 11 August 2021 18:00
$-307B
$-302B
Tuesday 13 July 2021 18:00
$-194B
$-174B
Thursday 10 June 2021 18:00
-
$-132B
Wednesday 12 May 2021 18:00
$-220B
$-226B

Economic context

Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Monthly Budget Statement result:

PreviousLatest
Michigan Consumer Sentiment IndexBearish change77.977.2
UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation(no change)3%3%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)(no change)0.3%0.3%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)(no change)2.8%2.8%
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)(no change)0.3%0.3%
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)Bullish change2.5%2.7%
Personal Income (MoM)Bullish change0.3%0.5%
Personal Spending(no change)0.8%0.8%
Pending Home Sales (MoM)Bullish change1.6%3.4%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (QoQ)Bullish change2%3.7%
Gross Domestic Product AnnualizedBearish change3.4%1.6%
Gross Domestic Product Price IndexBullish change1.7%3.1%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBullish change212K207K
Personal Consumption Expenditures Prices (QoQ)Bullish change1.8%3.4%
Durable Goods OrdersBullish change0.7%2.6%
Durable Goods Orders ex DefenseBullish change1.5%2.3%
Durable Goods Orders ex TransportationBullish change0.1%0.2%
Nondefense Capital Goods Orders ex AircraftBearish change0.4%0.2%
New Home Sales Change (MoM)Bullish change-5.1%8.8%
S&P Global Composite PMIBearish change52.150.9
S&P Global Manufacturing PMIBearish change51.949.9
S&P Global Services PMIBearish change51.750.9
Existing Home Sales Change (MoM)Bearish change9.5%-4.3%
Initial Jobless Claims(no change)212K212K
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing SurveyBullish change3.215.5
Industrial Production (MoM)(no change)0.4%0.4%
Building Permits (MoM)Bearish change1.523M1.458M
Housing Starts (MoM)Bearish change1.549M1.321M

About Monthly Budget Statement

Country:United States
Currency:USD
Source:US Bureau of the Fiscal Service
Category:Politics
Frequency:Monthly

Related events

Australia
Budget Release
Spain
Parliamentary Election
New Zealand
Budget Release
United States
President Biden speech
Australia
Mid-Year Economic and Fiscal Outlook
Switzerland
World Economic Forum - Davos
Eurozone
G20 Meeting
Eurozone
EcoFin Meeting
Eurozone
EU leaders summit
Eurozone
Eurogroup Meeting
Eurozone
European Commission releases Economic Growth Forecasts
United Kingdom
Budget Report
United Kingdom
Autumn Forecast Statement
United States
IMF Meeting
 
Continue to site >