Durable Goods Orders ex Defense

The Durable Goods Orders excluding Defense, released by the US Census Bureau, measures the cost of orders received by manufacturers for durable goods, which means goods planned to last for three years or more, excluding the defense sector. As those durable products often involve large investments they are sensitive to the US economic situation. Generally speaking, a high reading is bullish for the USD, while a low reading is seen as Bearish.

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Most recent - Friday 26 May 2023 12:30

3.2%

Revised

3.2%

Forecast

0.1%

Actual

-0.6%

Lower numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for xxx/USD pairs and bearish for USD/xxx pairs.

Next event - Tuesday 27 June 2023 12:30

-0.6%

Forecast

Actual

The typical/expected impact on USD pairs is medium.

There is no forecast value for Durable Goods Orders ex Defense yet - check back for updates.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Durable Goods Orders ex Defense was -0.6% against a forecast of 0.1%.

Past events

Date

Forecast

Actual

Friday 26 May 2023 12:30

0.1%

-0.6%

Wednesday 26 April 2023 12:30

3.5%

Friday 24 March 2023 12:30

-0.5%

Monday 27 February 2023 13:30

0.1%

-5.1%

Thursday 26 January 2023 13:30

-0.1%

6.3%

Friday 23 December 2022 13:30

0.1%

-2.6%

Wednesday 23 November 2022 13:30

-0.1%

0.8%

Thursday 27 October 2022 12:30

1.4%

Tuesday 27 September 2022 12:30

-0.9%

Wednesday 24 August 2022 12:30

1.2%

Wednesday 27 July 2022 12:30

0.4%

Monday 27 June 2022 12:30

-0.5%

0.6%

Wednesday 25 May 2022 12:30

0.3%

Tuesday 26 April 2022 12:30

1.2%

Thursday 24 March 2022 12:30

-2.7%

Friday 25 February 2022 13:30

0.1%

1.6%

Thursday 27 January 2022 13:30

0.1%

Thursday 23 December 2021 13:30

0.1%

Wednesday 24 November 2021 13:30

0.8%

Wednesday 27 October 2021 12:30

0.2%

-2%

Monday 27 September 2021 12:30

-0.3%

2.4%

Wednesday 25 August 2021 12:30

0.4%

-1.2%

Tuesday 27 July 2021 12:30

Thursday 24 June 2021 12:30

1.7%

Thursday 27 May 2021 12:30

Monday 26 April 2021 12:30

0.5%

Wednesday 24 March 2021 12:30

-0.7%

Thursday 25 February 2021 13:30

2.3%

Wednesday 27 January 2021 13:30

0.5%

Wednesday 23 December 2020 13:30

0.7%

Wednesday 25 November 2020 13:30

0.2%

Tuesday 27 October 2020 12:30

0.2%

3.4%

Friday 25 September 2020 12:30

0.1%

0.7%

Wednesday 26 August 2020 12:30

9.9%

Monday 27 July 2020 12:30

18.6%

9.2%

Thursday 25 June 2020 12:30

15.5%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Durable Goods Orders ex Defense result:

		Previous	Latest
Average Hourly Earnings (MoM)	Bearish change	0.4%	0.3%
Average Hourly Earnings (YoY)	Bearish change	4.4%	4.3%
Labor Force Participation Rate	(no change)	62.6%	62.6%
Nonfarm Payrolls	Bullish change	294K	339K
U6 Underemployment Rate	Bearish change	6.6%	6.7%
Unemployment Rate	Bearish change	3.4%	3.7%
ISM Manufacturing Employment Index	Bullish change	50.2	51.4
ISM Manufacturing New Orders Index	Bearish change	45.7	42.6
ISM Manufacturing PMI	Bearish change	47.1	46.9
ISM Manufacturing Prices Paid	Bearish change	53.2	44.2
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI	Bearish change	48.5	48.4
Initial Jobless Claims	Bearish change	230K	232K
Initial Jobless Claims 4-week average	Bullish change	232K	229.5K
Nonfarm Productivity	Bullish change	-2.7%	-2.1%
Unit Labor Costs	Bearish change	6.3%	4.2%
ADP Employment Change	Bearish change	291K	278K
Chicago Purchasing Managers' Index	Bearish change	48.6	40.4
Housing Price Index (MoM)	Bearish change	0.7%	0.6%
S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices (YoY)	Bearish change	0.4%	-1.1%
Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index	Bullish change	57.7	59.2
UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation	Bearish change	3.2%	3.1%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)	Bullish change	0.3%	0.4%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)	Bullish change	4.6%	4.7%
Durable Goods Orders	Bearish change	3.3%	1.1%
Durable Goods Orders ex Transportation	Bearish change	0.3%	-0.2%
Nondefense Capital Goods Orders ex Aircraft	Bullish change	-0.6%	1.4%
Personal Income (MoM)	Bullish change	0.3%	0.4%
Personal Spending	Bullish change	0.1%	0.8%
Pending Home Sales (MoM)	Bullish change	-5.2%	0%
Chicago Fed National Activity Index	Bullish change	-0.37	0.07
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (QoQ)	Bullish change	4.9%	5%
Gross Domestic Product Annualized	Bullish change	1.1%	1.3%
Gross Domestic Product Price Index	Bullish change	4%	4.2%
Initial Jobless Claims	Bearish change	225K	229K
Initial Jobless Claims 4-week average	(no change)	231.75K	231.75K
Personal Consumption Expenditures Prices (QoQ)	(no change)	4.2%	4.2%
New Home Sales (MoM)	Bullish change	0.656M	0.683M
S&P Global Composite PMI	Bullish change	53.4	54.5
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI	Bearish change	50.2	48.5
S&P Global Services PMI	Bullish change	53.6	55.1

About Durable Goods Orders ex Defense

Country:	United States
Currency:	USD
Source:	US Census Bureau
Category:	Economic Activity
Frequency:	Monthly

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Calendar - Durable Goods Orders ex Defense - United States

Durable Goods Orders ex Defense

Most recent - Friday 26 May 2023 12:30

Next event - Tuesday 27 June 2023 12:30

Trading range

Trading range after each Durable Goods Orders ex Defense event

Forecast history

Past events

Economic context

About Durable Goods Orders ex Defense

Related events