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ISM Manufacturing PMI

The Institute for Supply Management’s (ISM) Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) provides a reliable outlook on the state of the US manufacturing sector. A reading above 50 suggests that the business activity expanded during the survey period and vice versa. PMIs are considered to be leading indicators and could signal a shift in the economic cycle. Stronger-than-expected prints usually have a positive impact on the USD. In addition to the headline PMI, the Employment Index and the Prices Paid Index numbers are watched closely as they shine a light on the labour market and inflation.

Most recent - Friday 1 September 2023 14:00

Previous
46.4
Revised
-
Forecast
47
Actual
47.6

Higher numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for USD/xxx pairs and bearish for xxx/USD pairs.

Next event - Monday 2 October 2023 14:00

Previous
47.6
Forecast
-
Actual
-

The typical/expected impact on USD pairs is high.

There is no forecast value for ISM Manufacturing PMI yet - check back for updates.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for ISM Manufacturing PMI was 47.6 against a forecast of 47.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Friday 1 September 2023 14:00
47
47.6
Tuesday 1 August 2023 14:00
46.8
46.4
Monday 3 July 2023 14:00
47.2
46
Thursday 1 June 2023 14:00
47
46.9
Monday 1 May 2023 14:00
46.6
47.1
Monday 3 April 2023 14:00
47.5
46.3
Wednesday 1 March 2023 15:00
48
47.7
Wednesday 1 February 2023 15:00
48
47.4
Wednesday 4 January 2023 15:00
48.5
48.4
Thursday 1 December 2022 15:00
49.8
49
Tuesday 1 November 2022 14:00
50
50.2
Monday 3 October 2022 14:00
52.2
50.9
Thursday 1 September 2022 14:00
52
52.8
Monday 1 August 2022 14:00
52
52.8
Friday 1 July 2022 14:00
54.9
53
Wednesday 1 June 2022 14:00
54.5
56.1
Monday 2 May 2022 14:00
57.6
55.4
Friday 1 April 2022 14:00
59
57.1
Tuesday 1 March 2022 15:00
58
58.6
Tuesday 1 February 2022 15:00
57.5
57.6
Tuesday 4 January 2022 15:00
60
58.7
Wednesday 1 December 2021 15:00
61
61.1
Monday 1 November 2021 14:00
60.6
60.8
Friday 1 October 2021 14:00
59.6
61.1
Wednesday 1 September 2021 14:00
58.6
59.9
Monday 2 August 2021 14:00
60.9
59.5
Thursday 1 July 2021 14:00
61
60.6
Tuesday 1 June 2021 14:00
60.7
61.2
Monday 3 May 2021 14:00
65
60.7
Thursday 1 April 2021 14:00
61.3
64.7
Monday 1 March 2021 15:00
58.8
60.8
Monday 1 February 2021 15:00
60
58.7
Tuesday 5 January 2021 15:00
56.6
60.7
Tuesday 1 December 2020 15:00
58
57.5
Monday 2 November 2020 15:00
55.8
59.3
Thursday 1 October 2020 14:00
56.3
55.4

Economic context

Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI result:

PreviousLatest
S&P Global Composite PMIBearish change50.250.1
S&P Global Manufacturing PMIBullish change47.948.9
S&P Global Services PMIBearish change50.550.2
Existing Home Sales Change (MoM)Bullish change-2.2%-0.7%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBullish change221K201K
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing SurveyBearish change12-13.5
Fed Interest Rate Decision(no change)5.5%5.5%
Interest Rate Projections - 1st yearBullish change4.6%5.1%
Interest Rate Projections - 2nd yearBullish change3.4%3.9%
Interest Rate Projections - 3rd yearBearish change3.1%2.9%
Interest Rate Projections - Current(no change)5.6%5.6%
Interest Rate Projections - Longer(no change)2.5%2.5%
Building Permits (MoM)Bullish change1.443M1.543M
Housing Starts (MoM)Bearish change1.447M1.283M
Michigan Consumer Sentiment IndexBearish change69.567.7
UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation ExpectationBearish change3%2.7%
Industrial Production (MoM)Bearish change0.7%0.4%
NY Empire State Manufacturing IndexBullish change-191.9
Initial Jobless ClaimsBearish change217K220K
Producer Price Index (MoM)Bullish change0.4%0.7%
Producer Price Index (YoY)Bullish change0.8%1.6%
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM)Bearish change0.4%0.2%
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)Bearish change2.4%2.2%
Retail Sales (MoM)Bullish change0.5%0.6%
Retail Sales Control GroupBearish change0.7%0.1%
Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM)Bearish change0.7%0.6%
Monthly Budget StatementBullish change$-221B$89B
Consumer Price Index (MoM)Bullish change0.2%0.6%
Consumer Price Index (YoY)Bullish change3.2%3.7%
Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM)Bullish change0.2%0.3%
Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)Bearish change4.7%4.3%

About ISM Manufacturing PMI

Country:United States
Currency:USD
Source:Institute for Supply Management
Category:Economic Activity
Frequency:Monthly

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