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Claimant Count Change

The change in the number of those claiming jobless benefits is an early gauge of the UK’s labor market. The figures are released for the previous month, contrary to the Unemployment Rate, which is for the prior one. This release is scheduled around the middle of the month. An increase in applications is a sign of a worsening economic situation and implies looser monetary policy, while a decrease indicates improving conditions. A higher-than-expected outcome tends to be GBP-bearish.

Most recent - Tuesday 16 May 2023 06:00

Previous
28.2K
Revised
26.5K
Forecast
-10.8K
Actual
46.7K

Lower numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for xxx/GBP pairs and bearish for GBP/xxx pairs.

Next event - Tuesday 13 June 2023 06:00

Previous
46.7K
Forecast
-9.6K
Actual
-

The typical/expected impact on GBP pairs is high.

The consensus forecast for Claimant Count Change is -9.6K. A higher value than forecast tends to be bullish for xxx/GBP pairs and bearish for GBP/xxx pairs.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Claimant Count Change was 46.7K against a forecast of -10.8K.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Tuesday 16 May 2023 06:00
-10.8K
46.7K
Tuesday 18 April 2023 06:00
-11.8K
28.2K
Tuesday 14 March 2023 07:00
-12.4K
-11.2K
Tuesday 14 February 2023 07:00
-
-12.9K
Tuesday 17 January 2023 07:00
-
19.7K
Tuesday 13 December 2022 07:00
-13.3K
30.5K
Tuesday 15 November 2022 07:00
-12.6K
3.3K
Tuesday 11 October 2022 06:00
-11.4K
25.5K
Tuesday 13 September 2022 06:00
-9.2K
6.3K
Tuesday 16 August 2022 06:00
-32K
-10.5K
Tuesday 19 July 2022 06:00
-
-20K
Tuesday 14 June 2022 06:00
-49.4K
-19.7K
Tuesday 17 May 2022 06:00
-38.8K
-56.9K
Tuesday 12 April 2022 06:00
-
-46.9K
Tuesday 15 March 2022 07:00
-
-48.1K
Tuesday 15 February 2022 07:00
-
-31.9K
Tuesday 18 January 2022 07:00
-
-43.3K
Tuesday 14 December 2021 07:00
-
-49.8K
Tuesday 16 November 2021 07:00
-
-14.9K
Tuesday 12 October 2021 06:00
-
-51.1K
Tuesday 14 September 2021 06:00
-71.7K
-58.6K
Tuesday 17 August 2021 06:00
-
-7.8K
Thursday 15 July 2021 06:00
-
-114.8K
Tuesday 15 June 2021 06:00
-
-92.6K
Tuesday 18 May 2021 06:00
25.6K
-15.1K
Tuesday 20 April 2021 06:00
24.5K
10.1K
Tuesday 23 March 2021 07:00
-
86.6K
Tuesday 23 February 2021 07:00
35K
-20K
Tuesday 26 January 2021 07:00
35K
7K
Tuesday 15 December 2020 07:00
50K
64.3K
Tuesday 10 November 2020 07:00
36K
-29.8K
Tuesday 13 October 2020 06:00
78.8K
28K
Tuesday 15 September 2020 06:00
100K
73.7K
Tuesday 11 August 2020 06:00
10K
94.4K
Thursday 16 July 2020 06:00
250K
-28.1K
Tuesday 16 June 2020 06:00
370K
528.9K

Economic context

Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for GBP. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Claimant Count Change result:

PreviousLatest
S&P Global/CIPS Manufacturing PMIBullish change46.947.1
Retail Sales (MoM)Bullish change-1.2%0.5%
Retail Sales (YoY)Bullish change-3.9%-3%
Retail Sales ex-Fuel (MoM)Bullish change-1.4%0.8%
Retail Sales ex-Fuel (YoY)Bullish change-4%-2.6%
Consumer Price Index (MoM)Bullish change0.8%1.2%
Consumer Price Index (YoY)Bearish change10.1%8.7%
Core Consumer Price Index (YoY)Bullish change6.2%6.8%
PPI Core Output (MoM) n.s.aBearish change0.3%0%
PPI Core Output (YoY) n.s.a Bearish change8.3%6%
Retail Price Index (MoM)Bullish change0.7%1.5%
Retail Price Index (YoY)Bearish change13.5%11.4%
S&P Global/CIPS Composite PMIBearish change54.953.9
S&P Global/CIPS Manufacturing PMIBearish change47.846.9
S&P Global/CIPS Services PMIBearish change55.955.1

About Claimant Count Change

Country:United Kingdom
Currency:GBP
Source:Office for National Statistics
Category:Labor Market
Frequency:Monthly
 
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