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Chicago Fed National Activity Index

The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI), released by Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, is a monthly index designed to gauge overall economic activity and related inflationary pressure.

Most recent - Thursday 24 August 2023 12:30

Previous
-0.32
Revised
-0.33
Forecast
-
Actual
0.12

Next event - Monday 25 September 2023 12:30

Previous
0.12
Forecast
-
Actual
-

The typical/expected market impact of this event is low.

There is no forecast value for Chicago Fed National Activity Index yet - check back for updates.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Chicago Fed National Activity Index was 0.12.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Thursday 24 August 2023 12:30
-
0.12
Monday 24 July 2023 12:30
0.03
-0.32
Thursday 22 June 2023 12:30
0
-0.15
Thursday 25 May 2023 12:30
-0.02
0.07
Monday 24 April 2023 12:30
-0.02
-0.19
Thursday 23 March 2023 12:30
0
-0.19
Thursday 23 February 2023 13:30
0.03
0.23
Thursday 26 January 2023 13:30
-
-0.49
Thursday 26 January 2023 13:30
-
-0.51
Monday 21 November 2022 13:30
-
-0.05
Monday 24 October 2022 12:30
-0.04
0.1
Monday 26 September 2022 12:30
0.08
0
Monday 22 August 2022 12:30
-
0.27
Monday 25 July 2022 12:30
-0.03
-0.19
Tuesday 21 June 2022 12:30
-
0.01
Monday 23 May 2022 12:30
-
0.47
Monday 25 April 2022 12:30
0.21
0.44
Monday 21 March 2022 12:30
0.29
0.51
Thursday 24 February 2022 13:30
-0.08
0.69
Monday 24 January 2022 13:30
-
-0.15
Wednesday 22 December 2021 13:30
-
0.37
Monday 22 November 2021 13:30
-
0.76
Monday 25 October 2021 12:30
-
-0.13
Thursday 23 September 2021 12:30
-
0.29
Monday 23 August 2021 12:30
-
0.53
Thursday 22 July 2021 12:30
-
0.09
Monday 21 June 2021 12:30
-
0.29
Monday 24 May 2021 12:30
-
0.24
Thursday 22 April 2021 12:30
-0.66
1.71
Monday 22 March 2021 12:30
0.21
-1.09
Monday 22 February 2021 13:30
0.4
0.66
Monday 25 January 2021 13:30
-
0.52
Monday 21 December 2020 13:30
-
0.27
Monday 23 November 2020 13:30
-
0.83
Monday 26 October 2020 12:30
0.39
0.27

Economic context

Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Chicago Fed National Activity Index result:

PreviousLatest
S&P Global Composite PMIBearish change50.250.1
S&P Global Manufacturing PMIBullish change47.948.9
S&P Global Services PMIBearish change50.550.2
Existing Home Sales Change (MoM)Bullish change-2.2%-0.7%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBullish change221K201K
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing SurveyBearish change12-13.5
Fed Interest Rate Decision(no change)5.5%5.5%
Interest Rate Projections - 1st yearBullish change4.6%5.1%
Interest Rate Projections - 2nd yearBullish change3.4%3.9%
Interest Rate Projections - 3rd yearBearish change3.1%2.9%
Interest Rate Projections - Current(no change)5.6%5.6%
Interest Rate Projections - Longer(no change)2.5%2.5%
Building Permits (MoM)Bullish change1.443M1.543M
Housing Starts (MoM)Bearish change1.447M1.283M
Michigan Consumer Sentiment IndexBearish change69.567.7
UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation ExpectationBearish change3%2.7%
Industrial Production (MoM)Bearish change0.7%0.4%
NY Empire State Manufacturing IndexBullish change-191.9
Initial Jobless ClaimsBearish change217K220K
Producer Price Index (MoM)Bullish change0.4%0.7%
Producer Price Index (YoY)Bullish change0.8%1.6%
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM)Bearish change0.4%0.2%
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)Bearish change2.4%2.2%
Retail Sales (MoM)Bullish change0.5%0.6%
Retail Sales Control GroupBearish change0.7%0.1%
Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM)Bearish change0.7%0.6%
Monthly Budget StatementBullish change$-221B$89B
Consumer Price Index (MoM)Bullish change0.2%0.6%
Consumer Price Index (YoY)Bullish change3.2%3.7%
Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM)Bullish change0.2%0.3%
Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)Bearish change4.7%4.3%

About Chicago Fed National Activity Index

Country:United States
Currency:USD
Source:Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago
Category:Economic Activity
Frequency:Monthly

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