ILO Unemployment

The ILO Unemployment Rate released by INSEE is the number of unemployed workers compared to all the active workers in the economy. If the number rises, it indicates a lack of expansion within the French labor market and thus a weakening in the economy. Normally, a decrease in the figure is seen as positive (or bullish) for the Euro, while an increase is seen as negative (or bearish).

Next event - Friday 7 August 2026 05:30

Previous
8.1%
Forecast
8.2%
Actual
-

The typical/expected market impact of this event is low.

The consensus forecast for ILO Unemployment is 8.2%. A higher value than forecast tends to be bullish for xxx/EUR pairs and bearish for EUR/xxx pairs.

Most recent - Wednesday 13 May 2026 05:30

Previous
7.9%
Revised
-
Forecast
7.8%
Actual
8.1%

Lower numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for xxx/EUR pairs and bearish for EUR/xxx pairs.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for ILO Unemployment was 8.1% against a forecast of 7.8%.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Wednesday 13 May 2026 05:30
7.8%
8.1%
Tuesday 10 February 2026 06:30
7.8%
7.9%
Thursday 13 November 2025 06:30
7.6%
7.7%
Friday 8 August 2025 05:30
7.5%
7.5%
Friday 16 May 2025 05:30
7.4%
7.4%
Tuesday 11 February 2025 06:30
7.5%
7.3%
Wednesday 13 November 2024 06:30
7.4%
7.4%
Friday 9 August 2024 05:30
7.5%
7.3%
Friday 17 May 2024 05:30
7.4%
7.5%
Tuesday 13 February 2024 06:30
7.4%
7.5%
Wednesday 15 November 2023 06:30
-
7.4%
Friday 11 August 2023 05:30
7.1%
7.2%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been moderately bullish for EUR. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next ILO Unemployment result:

PreviousLatest
Retail Sales (MoM)Bearish change0.4%-0.3%
Retail Sales (YoY)Bearish change1.9%0.7%
Factory Orders n.s.a. (YoY)Bullish change4.5%6.5%
Factory Orders s.a. (MoM)Bullish change0.3%3.1%
Producer Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.2%-0.3%
Producer Price Index (YoY)Bearish change5.9%4.6%
HCOB Composite PMIBullish change51.952
HCOB Composite PMIBullish change51.251.3
HCOB Services PMIBullish change49.649.8
HCOB Services PMIBullish change54.258.3
HCOB Manufacturing PMI(no change)52.252.2
HCOB Manufacturing PMIBearish change52.251.3
HCOB Manufacturing PMIBullish change49.750.2
Retail Sales (MoM)Bearish change1.2%-1.1%
Retail Sales (YoY)Bearish change2.1%-0.2%
Core Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (MoM)Bearish change0.2%0%
Core Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY)Bullish change2.4%2.5%
Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (MoM)Bullish change-0.1%0.2%
Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY)Bullish change2.8%2.9%
Consumer Price Index (EU Norm) (YoY)Bearish change3%2.9%
Consumer Price Index (YoY)Bearish change3%2.8%
Unemployment ChangeBearish change-1K6K
Unemployment Rate s.a.Bearish change6.3%6.4%
Consumer Price Index (EU norm) (YoY)Bullish change2%2.4%
Consumer Price Index (MoM)Bullish change-0.3%0.8%
Consumer Price Index (YoY)Bullish change2.3%2.8%
Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (MoM)Bullish change-0.2%0.9%
Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY)Bullish change2.4%2.8%
Business ClimateBullish change-0.36-0.19
Consumer Confidence(no change)-15.9-15.9
Economic Sentiment IndicatorBullish change95.496.9
Gross Domestic Product s.a. (QoQ)Bullish change-0.2%0.4%
Gross Domestic Product s.a. (YoY)Bullish change0.3%1%
Unemployment Rate(no change)6.3%6.3%
Gross Domestic Product (QoQ)Bearish change0.3%0.2%
Gross Domestic Product (YoY)Bullish change0.4%0.9%
Gross Domestic Product w.d.a (YoY)Bullish change0.5%0.9%
Gross Domestic Product (QoQ)Bearish change0.3%0.2%
Gross Domestic Product (YoY)Bullish change0.8%1%
Gross Domestic Product - Estimated (QoQ)Bullish change0.6%0.7%
Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY)Bullish change3.6%3.8%
Gross Domestic Product (QoQ)Bullish change-0.1%0.2%
IFO – Business ClimateBullish change85.786.6
IFO – Current AssessmentBearish change8786.5
IFO – ExpectationsBullish change84.386.7
HCOB Composite PMIBullish change5051.9
HCOB Manufacturing PMIBullish change51.452
HCOB Services PMIBullish change49.451.6
HCOB Composite PMIBullish change49.551.2
HCOB Manufacturing PMIBullish change50.352.2
HCOB Services PMIBullish change48.649.6
HCOB Composite PMIBullish change47.249.6
HCOB Manufacturing PMIBearish change51.250
HCOB Services PMIBullish change46.849.8
GfK Consumer Confidence SurveyBearish change-29.3-29.6

About ILO Unemployment

Country:France
Currency:EUR
Source:INSEE
Category:Labor Market
Frequency:Quarterly
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