ISM Services Employment Index

The ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI released by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) shows business conditions in the US non-manufacturing sector, taking into account expectations for future production, new orders, inventories, employment and deliveries. It is a significant indicator of the overall economic condition in the US. The ISM Services Employment Index represents business sentiment regarding labor market conditions and is considered a strong Non-Farm Payrolls leading indicator. A result above 50 is positive (or bullish) for the USD.

Most recent - Wednesday 4 June 2025 14:00

Previous
49
Revised
-
Forecast
52.3
Actual
50.7

Lower numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for xxx/USD pairs and bearish for USD/xxx pairs.

Next event - Thursday 3 July 2025 14:00

Previous
50.7
Forecast
-
Actual
-

The typical/expected impact on USD pairs is medium.

There is no forecast value for ISM Services Employment Index yet - check back for updates.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for ISM Services Employment Index was 50.7 against a forecast of 52.3.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Wednesday 4 June 2025 14:00
52.3
50.7
Monday 5 May 2025 14:00
-
49
Thursday 3 April 2025 14:00
-
46.2
Wednesday 5 March 2025 15:00
-
53.9
Wednesday 5 February 2025 15:00
-
52.3
Tuesday 7 January 2025 15:00
-
51.4
Wednesday 4 December 2024 15:00
-
51.5
Tuesday 5 November 2024 15:00
-
53
Thursday 3 October 2024 14:00
-
48.1
Thursday 5 September 2024 14:00
-
50.2
Monday 5 August 2024 14:00
46.5
51.1
Wednesday 3 July 2024 14:00
-
46.1
Wednesday 5 June 2024 14:00
-
47.1
Friday 3 May 2024 14:00
-
45.9
Wednesday 3 April 2024 14:00
-
48.5
Tuesday 5 March 2024 15:00
-
48
Monday 5 February 2024 15:00
-
50.5
Friday 5 January 2024 15:00
-
43.3
Tuesday 5 December 2023 15:00
-
50.7
Friday 3 November 2023 14:00
-
50.2
Wednesday 4 October 2023 14:00
-
53.4
Wednesday 6 September 2023 14:00
-
54.7
Thursday 3 August 2023 14:00
51.1
50.7
Thursday 6 July 2023 14:00
-
53.1
Monday 5 June 2023 14:00
51
49.2
Wednesday 3 May 2023 14:00
52.6
50.8
Wednesday 5 April 2023 14:00
52
51.3
Friday 3 March 2023 15:00
49.8
54
Friday 3 February 2023 15:00
50.5
50
Friday 6 January 2023 15:00
50.2
49.8
Monday 5 December 2022 15:00
51
51.5
Thursday 3 November 2022 14:00
51.6
49.1
Wednesday 5 October 2022 14:00
49.6
53
Tuesday 6 September 2022 14:00
48.2
50.2
Wednesday 3 August 2022 14:00
48.7
49.1
Wednesday 6 July 2022 14:00
49.8
47.4

Economic context

Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next ISM Services Employment Index result:

PreviousLatest
Pending Home Sales (MoM)Bullish change-6.3%1.8%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (QoQ)Bullish change3.4%3.5%
Durable Goods OrdersBullish change-6.6%16.4%
Durable Goods Orders ex DefenseBullish change-7.7%15.5%
Durable Goods Orders ex TransportationBullish change0%0.5%
Gross Domestic Product AnnualizedBearish change-0.2%-0.5%
Gross Domestic Product Price IndexBullish change3.7%3.8%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBullish change245K236K
Nondefense Capital Goods Orders ex AircraftBullish change-1.4%1.7%
Personal Consumption Expenditures Prices (QoQ)Bullish change3.6%3.7%
New Home Sales Change (MoM)Bearish change9.6%-13.7%
Housing Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0%-0.4%
Existing Home Sales Change (MoM)Bullish change-0.5%0.8%
S&P Global Composite PMIBearish change5352.8
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI(no change)5252
S&P Global Services PMIBearish change53.753.1
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey(no change)-4-4
Fed Interest Rate Decision(no change)4.5%4.5%
Interest Rate Projections - 1st yearBullish change3.4%3.6%
Interest Rate Projections - 2nd yearBullish change3.1%3.4%
Interest Rate Projections - Current(no change)3.9%3.9%
Interest Rate Projections - Longer(no change)3%3%
Building Permits (MoM)Bearish change1.422M1.393M
Housing Starts (MoM)Bearish change1.392M1.256M
Initial Jobless ClaimsBullish change250K245K
Industrial Production (MoM)Bearish change0.1%-0.2%
Retail Sales (MoM)Bearish change-0.1%-0.9%
Retail Sales Control GroupBullish change-0.1%0.4%
Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM)Bearish change0%-0.3%
NY Empire State Manufacturing IndexBearish change-9.2-16
Michigan Consumer Expectations IndexBullish change47.958.4
Michigan Consumer Sentiment IndexBullish change52.260.5
UoM 1-year Consumer Inflation ExpectationsBearish change6.6%5.1%
UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation ExpectationBearish change4.2%4.1%

About ISM Services Employment Index

Country:United States
Currency:USD
Source:Institute for Supply Management
Category:Labor Market
Frequency:Monthly
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