Average Hourly Earnings (YoY)

The Average Hourly Earning released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics is a significant indicator of labor cost inflation and of the tightness of labor markets. The Federal Reserve Board pays close attention to when setting interest rates. A high reading is also positive for the USD, while a low reading is negative.

Most recent - Friday 2 May 2025 12:30

Previous
3.8%
Revised
-
Forecast
3.9%
Actual
3.8%

Lower numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for xxx/USD pairs and bearish for USD/xxx pairs.

Next event - Friday 6 June 2025 12:30

Previous
3.8%
Forecast
-
Actual
-

The typical/expected impact on USD pairs is high.

There is no forecast value for Average Hourly Earnings (YoY) yet - check back for updates.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Average Hourly Earnings (YoY) was 3.8% against a forecast of 3.9%.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Friday 2 May 2025 12:30
3.9%
3.8%
Friday 4 April 2025 12:30
3.9%
3.8%
Friday 7 March 2025 13:30
4.1%
4%
Friday 7 February 2025 13:30
3.8%
4.1%
Friday 10 January 2025 13:30
4%
3.9%
Friday 6 December 2024 13:30
3.9%
4%
Friday 1 November 2024 12:30
4%
4%
Friday 4 October 2024 12:30
3.8%
4%
Friday 6 September 2024 12:30
3.7%
3.8%
Friday 2 August 2024 12:30
3.7%
3.6%
Friday 5 July 2024 12:30
3.9%
3.9%
Friday 7 June 2024 12:30
3.9%
4.1%
Friday 3 May 2024 12:30
4%
3.9%
Friday 5 April 2024 12:30
4.1%
4.1%
Friday 8 March 2024 13:30
4.4%
4.3%
Friday 2 February 2024 13:30
4.1%
4.5%
Friday 5 January 2024 13:30
3.9%
4.1%
Friday 8 December 2023 13:30
4%
4%
Friday 3 November 2023 12:30
4%
4.1%
Friday 6 October 2023 12:30
4.3%
4.2%
Friday 1 September 2023 12:30
4.4%
4.3%
Friday 4 August 2023 12:30
4.2%
4.4%
Friday 7 July 2023 12:30
4.2%
4.4%
Friday 2 June 2023 12:30
4.4%
4.3%
Friday 5 May 2023 12:30
4.2%
4.4%
Friday 7 April 2023 12:30
4.3%
4.2%
Friday 10 March 2023 13:30
4.7%
4.6%
Friday 3 February 2023 13:30
4.9%
4.4%
Friday 6 January 2023 13:30
5%
4.6%
Friday 2 December 2022 13:30
4.6%
5.1%
Friday 4 November 2022 12:30
4.7%
4.7%
Friday 7 October 2022 12:30
5.1%
5%
Friday 2 September 2022 12:30
5.3%
5.2%
Friday 5 August 2022 12:30
4.9%
5.2%
Friday 8 July 2022 12:30
5%
5.1%
Friday 3 June 2022 12:30
5.2%
5.2%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Average Hourly Earnings (YoY) result:

PreviousLatest
Michigan Consumer Expectations IndexBullish change46.547.9
Michigan Consumer Sentiment IndexBullish change50.852.2
UoM 1-year Consumer Inflation ExpectationsBearish change7.3%6.6%
UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation ExpectationBearish change4.6%4.2%
Chicago PMIBearish change44.640.5
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)(no change)0.1%0.1%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)Bearish change2.7%2.5%
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)Bullish change0%0.1%
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)Bearish change2.3%2.1%
Personal Income (MoM)Bullish change0.7%0.8%
Personal SpendingBearish change0.7%0.2%
Pending Home Sales (MoM)Bearish change5.5%-6.3%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (QoQ)Bearish change3.5%3.4%
Gross Domestic Product AnnualizedBullish change-0.3%-0.2%
Gross Domestic Product Price Index(no change)3.7%3.7%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBearish change226K240K
Personal Consumption Expenditures Prices (QoQ)(no change)3.6%3.6%
Housing Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0%-0.1%
Durable Goods OrdersBearish change7.6%-6.3%
Durable Goods Orders ex DefenseBearish change9%-7.5%
Durable Goods Orders ex TransportationBullish change-0.2%0.2%
Nondefense Capital Goods Orders ex AircraftBearish change0.3%-1.3%
New Home Sales Change (MoM)Bullish change2.6%10.9%
Existing Home Sales Change (MoM)Bullish change-5.9%-0.5%
S&P Global Composite PMIBullish change50.652.1
S&P Global Manufacturing PMIBullish change50.252.3
S&P Global Services PMIBullish change50.852.3
Initial Jobless ClaimsBullish change229K227K

About Average Hourly Earnings (YoY)

Country:United States
Currency:USD
Source:US Bureau of Labor Statistics
Category:Labor Market
Frequency:Monthly
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