Unemployment

The Unemployment Rate released by the National Institute of Statistics is the number of unemployed workers divided by the total civilian labor force. It is a leading indicator for the Italian economy. If the rate is up, it indicates a lack of expansion within the Italian labor market. As a result, a rise leads to weakening in the economy. Normally, a decrease in the figure is seen as positive (or bullish) for the Euro, while an increase is seen as negative (or bearish).

Most recent - Monday 2 December 2024 09:00

Previous
6.1%
Revised
-
Forecast
6.1%
Actual
5.8%

Higher numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for EUR/xxx pairs and bearish for xxx/EUR pairs.

Next event - Friday 10 January 2025 09:00

Previous
-
Forecast
-
Actual
-

The typical/expected market impact of this event is low.

There is no forecast value for Unemployment yet - check back for updates.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Unemployment was 5.8% against a forecast of 6.1%.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Monday 2 December 2024 09:00
6.1%
5.8%
Thursday 31 October 2024 09:00
6.2%
6.1%
Wednesday 2 October 2024 08:00
6.7%
6.2%
Friday 30 August 2024 08:00
7%
6.5%
Thursday 1 August 2024 08:00
6.8%
7%
Tuesday 2 July 2024 08:00
6.9%
6.8%
Thursday 30 May 2024 08:00
7.2%
6.9%
Friday 3 May 2024 08:00
7.5%
7.2%
Wednesday 3 April 2024 08:00
7.2%
7.5%
Friday 1 March 2024 09:00
7.2%
7.2%
Wednesday 31 January 2024 09:00
7.6%
7.2%
Tuesday 9 January 2024 09:00
7.9%
7.5%
Thursday 30 November 2023 09:00
7.5%
7.8%
Friday 3 November 2023 09:00
7.4%
7.4%
Monday 2 October 2023 08:00
7.7%
7.3%
Thursday 31 August 2023 08:00
7.4%
7.6%
Tuesday 1 August 2023 08:00
7.7%
7.4%
Friday 30 June 2023 08:00
7.9%
7.6%
Thursday 1 June 2023 08:00
7.8%
7.8%
Wednesday 3 May 2023 08:00
8%
7.8%
Thursday 30 March 2023 08:00
8%
8%
Thursday 2 March 2023 09:00
7.8%
7.9%
Tuesday 31 January 2023 09:00
7.8%
7.8%
Monday 9 January 2023 09:00
7.8%
7.8%
Thursday 1 December 2022 09:00
8%
7.8%
Thursday 3 November 2022 09:00
7.8%
7.9%
Friday 30 September 2022 08:00
7.9%
7.8%
Thursday 1 September 2022 08:00
8.1%
7.9%
Monday 1 August 2022 08:00
8.1%
8.1%
Thursday 30 June 2022 08:00
8.4%
8.1%
Wednesday 1 June 2022 08:00
8.3%
8.4%
Monday 2 May 2022 08:00
8.4%
8.3%
Thursday 31 March 2022 08:00
8.7%
8.5%
Thursday 3 March 2022 09:00
-
8.8%
Tuesday 1 February 2022 09:00
-
9%
Monday 10 January 2022 09:00
9.3%
9.2%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for EUR. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Unemployment result:

PreviousLatest
Employment Change (QoQ)(no change)0.2%0.2%
Gross Domestic Product s.a. (QoQ)(no change)0.4%0.4%
Gross Domestic Product s.a. (YoY)(no change)0.9%0.9%
Industrial Production n.s.a. w.d.a. (YoY)Bearish change-4.3%-4.5%
Industrial Production s.a. (MoM)Bullish change-2%-1%
Retail Sales (MoM)Bearish change0.5%-0.5%
Retail Sales (YoY)Bearish change3%1.9%
Factory Orders n.s.a. (YoY)Bullish change4.2%5.7%
Factory Orders s.a. (MoM)Bearish change7.2%-1.5%
Producer Price Index (MoM)Bullish change-0.6%0.4%
Producer Price Index (YoY)Bullish change-3.4%-3.2%
HCOB Composite PMIBullish change48.148.3
HCOB Composite PMIBearish change47.347.2
HCOB Services PMIBearish change49.449.3
HCOB Services PMIBearish change54.953.1
Unemployment Rate(no change)6.3%6.3%
Gross Domestic Product (QoQ)(no change)0%0%
Gross Domestic Product (YoY)(no change)0.4%0.4%
HCOB Manufacturing PMIBearish change43.243
HCOB Manufacturing PMIBearish change46.944.5
HCOB Manufacturing PMIBearish change54.553.1
Core Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (MoM)Bearish change0.2%-0.6%
Core Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY)Bullish change2.7%2.8%
Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (MoM)Bearish change0.3%-0.3%
Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY)Bullish change2%2.3%
Consumer Price Index (EU Norm) (YoY)Bullish change1%1.6%
Consumer Price Index (YoY)Bullish change0.9%1.4%
Unemployment ChangeBullish change27K7K
Unemployment Rate s.a.(no change)6.1%6.1%
Consumer Price Index (EU norm) (YoY)Bullish change1.6%1.7%
Retail Sales (MoM)Bearish change1.6%-1.5%
Retail Sales (YoY)Bearish change1.4%1%
Consumer Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.4%-0.2%
Consumer Price Index (YoY)Bullish change2%2.2%
Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (MoM)Bearish change0.4%-0.7%
Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY)(no change)2.4%2.4%
Business ClimateBullish change-0.93-0.77
Consumer ConfidenceBearish change-12.4-13.7
Economic Sentiment IndicatorBullish change95.795.8
Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY)Bullish change1.8%2.4%
GfK Consumer Confidence SurveyBearish change-18.4-23.3
IFO – Business ClimateBearish change86.585.7
IFO – Current AssessmentBearish change85.784.3
IFO – ExpectationsBearish change87.387.2

About Unemployment

Country:Italy
Currency:EUR
Source:ISTAT
Category:Labor Market
Frequency:Monthly
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