Unemployment

The Unemployment Rate released by the National Institute of Statistics is the number of unemployed workers divided by the total civilian labor force. It is a leading indicator for the Italian economy. If the rate is up, it indicates a lack of expansion within the Italian labor market. As a result, a rise leads to weakening in the economy. Normally, a decrease in the figure is seen as positive (or bullish) for the Euro, while an increase is seen as negative (or bearish).

Most recent - Thursday 30 October 2025 10:00

Previous
6%
Revised
-
Forecast
6%
Actual
6.1%

Lower numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for xxx/EUR pairs and bearish for EUR/xxx pairs.

Next event - Friday 28 November 2025 09:00

Previous
-
Forecast
-
Actual
-

The typical/expected market impact of this event is low.

There is no forecast value for Unemployment yet - check back for updates.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Unemployment was 6.1% against a forecast of 6%.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Thursday 30 October 2025 10:00
6%
6.1%
Thursday 2 October 2025 08:00
6%
6%
Monday 1 September 2025 08:00
6.2%
6%
Thursday 31 July 2025 08:00
6.4%
6.3%
Wednesday 2 July 2025 08:00
6%
6.5%
Tuesday 3 June 2025 08:00
6.1%
5.9%
Friday 2 May 2025 08:00
6%
6%
Tuesday 1 April 2025 08:00
6.3%
5.9%
Tuesday 4 March 2025 09:00
6.2%
6.3%
Thursday 30 January 2025 10:00
5.7%
6.2%
Tuesday 7 January 2025 09:00
6%
5.7%
Monday 2 December 2024 09:00
6.1%
5.8%
Thursday 31 October 2024 09:00
6.2%
6.1%
Wednesday 2 October 2024 08:00
6.7%
6.2%
Friday 30 August 2024 08:00
7%
6.5%
Thursday 1 August 2024 08:00
6.8%
7%
Tuesday 2 July 2024 08:00
6.9%
6.8%
Thursday 30 May 2024 08:00
7.2%
6.9%
Friday 3 May 2024 08:00
7.5%
7.2%
Wednesday 3 April 2024 08:00
7.2%
7.5%
Friday 1 March 2024 09:00
7.2%
7.2%
Wednesday 31 January 2024 09:00
7.6%
7.2%
Tuesday 9 January 2024 09:00
7.9%
7.5%
Thursday 30 November 2023 09:00
7.5%
7.8%
Friday 3 November 2023 09:00
7.4%
7.4%
Monday 2 October 2023 08:00
7.7%
7.3%
Thursday 31 August 2023 08:00
7.4%
7.6%
Tuesday 1 August 2023 08:00
7.7%
7.4%
Friday 30 June 2023 08:00
7.9%
7.6%
Thursday 1 June 2023 08:00
7.8%
7.8%
Wednesday 3 May 2023 08:00
8%
7.8%
Thursday 30 March 2023 08:00
8%
8%
Thursday 2 March 2023 09:00
7.8%
7.9%
Tuesday 31 January 2023 09:00
7.8%
7.8%
Monday 9 January 2023 09:00
7.8%
7.8%
Thursday 1 December 2022 09:00
8%
7.8%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been moderately bullish for EUR. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Unemployment result:

PreviousLatest
Producer Price Index (MoM)Bullish change-0.4%-0.1%
Producer Price Index (YoY)Bullish change-0.6%-0.2%
Factory Orders n.s.a. (YoY)Bearish change2.1%-4.3%
Factory Orders s.a. (MoM)Bullish change-0.4%1.1%
Core Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (MoM)Bullish change0.1%0.3%
Core Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY)(no change)2.4%2.4%
Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (MoM)Bullish change0.1%0.2%
Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY)Bearish change2.2%2.1%
Consumer Price Index (EU Norm) (YoY)Bearish change1.8%1.3%
Consumer Price Index (YoY)Bearish change1.6%1.2%
Consumer Price Index (EU norm) (YoY)Bearish change1.1%0.9%
Retail Sales (MoM)Bullish change-0.5%0.2%
Retail Sales (YoY)Bearish change1.4%0.2%
Consumer Price Index (MoM)Bullish change0.2%0.3%
Consumer Price Index (YoY)Bearish change2.4%2.3%
Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (MoM)Bullish change0.2%0.3%
Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY)Bearish change2.4%2.3%
Business ClimateBullish change-0.73-0.46
Consumer Confidence(no change)-14.2-14.2
Economic Sentiment IndicatorBullish change95.696.8
Gross Domestic Product s.a. (QoQ)Bullish change0.1%0.2%
Gross Domestic Product s.a. (YoY)Bearish change1.5%1.3%
Unemployment Rate(no change)6.3%6.3%
Gross Domestic Product (QoQ)Bullish change-0.3%0%
Gross Domestic Product (YoY)Bullish change0.2%0.3%
Gross Domestic Product w.d.a (YoY)Bullish change-0.2%0.3%
Gross Domestic Product (QoQ)Bullish change-0.1%0%
Gross Domestic Product (YoY)(no change)0.4%0.4%
Unemployment ChangeBullish change14K-1K
Unemployment Rate s.a.(no change)6.3%6.3%
Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY)Bullish change3%3.2%
Gross Domestic Product (QoQ)Bullish change0.3%0.5%
Gross Domestic Product - Estimated (QoQ)Bearish change0.7%0.6%
GfK Consumer Confidence SurveyBearish change-22.3-24.1
IFO – Business ClimateBullish change87.788.4
IFO – Current AssessmentBearish change85.785.3
IFO – ExpectationsBullish change89.891.6
Consumer ConfidenceBullish change-14.9-14.2

About Unemployment

Country:Italy
Currency:EUR
Source:ISTAT
Category:Labor Market
Frequency:Monthly
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