Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM)

The Retail Sales ex Autos released by the US Census Bureau is a monthly data that shows all goods sold by retailers based on a sampling of retail stores of different types and sizes except the automobile sector. The retail sales index is often taken as an indicator of consumer confidence. This report is the "advance" report, which can be revised fairly significantly after the final numbers are calculated. The positive economic growth anticipates bullish movements for the USD.

Most recent - Tuesday 17 December 2024 13:30

Previous
0.2%
Revised
0.2%
Forecast
0.4%
Actual
0.2%

Lower numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for xxx/USD pairs and bearish for USD/xxx pairs.

Next event - Thursday 16 January 2025 13:30

Previous
-
Forecast
-
Actual
-

The typical/expected impact on USD pairs is medium.

There is no forecast value for Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM) yet - check back for updates.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM) was 0.2% against a forecast of 0.4%.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Tuesday 17 December 2024 13:30
0.4%
0.2%
Friday 15 November 2024 13:30
0.3%
0.1%
Thursday 17 October 2024 12:30
0.1%
0.5%
Tuesday 17 September 2024 12:30
0.2%
0.1%
Thursday 15 August 2024 12:30
0.1%
0.4%
Tuesday 16 July 2024 12:30
0.1%
0.4%
Tuesday 18 June 2024 12:30
0.2%
-0.1%
Wednesday 15 May 2024 12:30
0.2%
0.2%
Monday 15 April 2024 12:30
0.4%
1.1%
Thursday 14 March 2024 12:30
0.5%
0.3%
Thursday 15 February 2024 13:30
0.2%
-0.6%
Wednesday 17 January 2024 13:30
0.2%
0.4%
Thursday 14 December 2023 13:30
-0.1%
0.2%
Wednesday 15 November 2023 13:30
0%
0.1%
Tuesday 17 October 2023 12:30
0.2%
0.6%
Thursday 14 September 2023 12:30
0.4%
0.6%
Tuesday 15 August 2023 12:30
0.4%
1%
Tuesday 18 July 2023 12:30
0.3%
0.2%
Thursday 15 June 2023 12:30
0.1%
0.1%
Tuesday 16 May 2023 12:30
0.4%
0.4%
Friday 14 April 2023 12:30
-0.3%
-0.8%
Wednesday 15 March 2023 12:30
-0.1%
-0.1%
Wednesday 15 February 2023 13:30
0.8%
2.3%
Wednesday 18 January 2023 13:30
-0.4%
-1.1%
Thursday 15 December 2022 13:30
0.2%
-0.2%
Wednesday 16 November 2022 13:30
0.4%
1.3%
Friday 14 October 2022 12:30
-0.1%
0.1%
Thursday 15 September 2022 12:30
0.1%
-0.3%
Wednesday 17 August 2022 12:30
-0.1%
0.4%
Friday 15 July 2022 12:30
0.6%
1%
Wednesday 15 June 2022 12:30
0.8%
0.5%
Tuesday 17 May 2022 12:30
0.3%
0.6%
Thursday 14 April 2022 12:30
1%
1.1%
Wednesday 16 March 2022 12:30
0.9%
0.2%
Wednesday 16 February 2022 13:30
0.8%
3.3%
Friday 14 January 2022 13:30
0.2%
-2.3%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been moderately bullish for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM) result:

PreviousLatest
Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index(no change)7474
UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation ExpectationBearish change3.1%3%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.3%0.1%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)(no change)2.8%2.8%
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.2%0.1%
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)Bullish change2.3%2.4%
Personal Income (MoM)Bearish change0.7%0.3%
Personal SpendingBullish change0.3%0.4%
Existing Home Sales Change (MoM)Bullish change3.4%4.8%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBullish change242K220K
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing SurveyBearish change-5.5-16.4
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (QoQ)Bullish change2.1%2.2%
Gross Domestic Product AnnualizedBullish change2.8%3.1%
Gross Domestic Product Price Index(no change)1.9%1.9%
Personal Consumption Expenditures Prices (QoQ)(no change)1.5%1.5%
Fed Interest Rate DecisionBearish change4.75%4.5%
Interest Rate Projections - 1st yearBullish change3.4%3.9%
Interest Rate Projections - 2nd yearBullish change2.9%3.4%
Interest Rate Projections - 3rd yearBullish change2.9%3.1%
Interest Rate Projections - Current(no change)4.4%4.4%
Interest Rate Projections - LongerBullish change2.9%3%
Building Permits (MoM)Bullish change1.419M1.505M
Housing Starts (MoM)Bearish change1.312M1.289M
Industrial Production (MoM)Bullish change-0.4%-0.1%
Retail Sales (MoM)Bullish change0.5%0.7%
Retail Sales Control GroupBullish change-0.1%0.4%
S&P Global Composite PMIBullish change54.956.6
S&P Global Manufacturing PMIBearish change49.748.3
S&P Global Services PMIBullish change56.158.5
NY Empire State Manufacturing IndexBearish change31.20.2
Initial Jobless ClaimsBearish change225K242K
Producer Price Index (MoM)Bullish change0.3%0.4%
Producer Price Index (YoY)Bullish change2.6%3%
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM)Bearish change0.3%0.2%
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)Bullish change3.1%3.4%
Monthly Budget StatementBearish change$-257B$-367B
Consumer Price Index (MoM)Bullish change0.2%0.3%
Consumer Price Index (YoY)Bullish change2.6%2.7%
Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM)(no change)0.3%0.3%
Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY)(no change)3.3%3.3%
Nonfarm Productivity(no change)2.2%2.2%
Unit Labor CostsBearish change1.9%0.8%

About Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM)

Country:United States
Currency:USD
Source:US Census Bureau
Category:Consumption
Frequency:Monthly
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