Retail Sales (MoM)
Most recent - Friday 5 September 2025 06:00
Higher numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for GBP/xxx pairs and bearish for xxx/GBP pairs.
Next event - Friday 19 September 2025 06:00
The typical/expected impact on GBP pairs is high.
The consensus forecast for Retail Sales (MoM) is 0.4%. A higher value than forecast tends to be bullish for GBP/xxx pairs and bearish for xxx/GBP pairs.
Trading range
Forecast history
The most recent announced value for Retail Sales (MoM) was 0.6% against a forecast of 0.2%.
Past events
Economic context
Recent economic data has been moderately bearish for GBP. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Retail Sales (MoM) result:
| Previous | Latest | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average Earnings Excluding Bonus (3Mo/Yr) | Bearish change | 5% | 4.8% | ||
| Average Earnings Including Bonus (3Mo/Yr) | Bullish change | 4.6% | 4.7% | ||
| Claimant Count Change | Bearish change | -33.3K | 17.4K | ||
| Claimant Count Rate | Bearish change | 4.3% | 4.4% | ||
| Employment Change (3M) | Bearish change | 238K | 232K | ||
| ILO Unemployment Rate (3M) | (no change) | 4.7% | 4.7% | ||
| Consumer Inflation Expectations | Bullish change | 3.2% | 3.6% | ||
| Gross Domestic Product (MoM) | Bearish change | 0.4% | 0% | ||
| Industrial Production (MoM) | Bearish change | 0.7% | -0.9% | ||
| Manufacturing Production (MoM) | Bearish change | 0.5% | -1.3% | ||
| BRC Like-For-Like Retail Sales (YoY) | Bullish change | 1.8% | 2.9% | ||
| Retail Sales (YoY) | Bullish change | 0.9% | 1.1% | ||
| Retail Sales ex-Fuel (MoM) | Bearish change | 0.6% | 0.5% | ||
| Retail Sales ex-Fuel (YoY) | (no change) | 1.3% | 1.3% |
About Retail Sales (MoM)
| Country: | United Kingdom |
|---|---|
| Currency: | GBP |
| Source: | Office for National Statistics |
| Category: | Consumption |
| Frequency: | Monthly |
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