Retail Sales (MoM)

Retail Sales data published by the US Census Bureau is a leading indicator that gives important information about consumer spending, which has a significant impact on the GDP. Although strong sales figures are likely to boost the USD, external factors, such as weather conditions, could distort the data and paint a misleading picture. In addition to the headline data, changes in the Retail Sales Control Group could trigger a market reaction as it is used to prepare the estimates of Personal Consumption Expenditures for most goods.

Most recent - Thursday 17 July 2025 12:30

Previous
-0.9%
Revised
-
Forecast
0.1%
Actual
0.6%

Higher numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for USD/xxx pairs and bearish for xxx/USD pairs.

Next event - Friday 15 August 2025 12:30

Previous
-
Forecast
-
Actual
-

The typical/expected impact on USD pairs is high.

There is no forecast value for Retail Sales (MoM) yet - check back for updates.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Retail Sales (MoM) was 0.6% against a forecast of 0.1%.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Thursday 17 July 2025 12:30
0.1%
0.6%
Tuesday 17 June 2025 12:30
-0.7%
-0.9%
Thursday 15 May 2025 12:30
0%
0.1%
Wednesday 16 April 2025 12:30
1.3%
1.4%
Monday 17 March 2025 12:30
0.7%
0.2%
Friday 14 February 2025 13:30
-0.1%
-0.9%
Thursday 16 January 2025 13:30
0.6%
0.4%
Tuesday 17 December 2024 13:30
0.5%
0.7%
Friday 15 November 2024 13:30
0.3%
0.4%
Thursday 17 October 2024 12:30
0.3%
0.4%
Tuesday 17 September 2024 12:30
-0.2%
0.1%
Thursday 15 August 2024 12:30
0.3%
1%
Tuesday 16 July 2024 12:30
0%
0%
Tuesday 18 June 2024 12:30
0.2%
0.1%
Wednesday 15 May 2024 12:30
0.4%
0%
Monday 15 April 2024 12:30
0.3%
0.7%
Thursday 14 March 2024 12:30
0.8%
0.6%
Thursday 15 February 2024 13:30
-0.1%
-0.8%
Wednesday 17 January 2024 13:30
0.4%
0.6%
Thursday 14 December 2023 13:30
-0.1%
0.3%
Wednesday 15 November 2023 13:30
-0.3%
-0.1%
Tuesday 17 October 2023 12:30
0.3%
0.7%
Thursday 14 September 2023 12:30
0.2%
0.6%
Tuesday 15 August 2023 12:30
0.4%
0.7%
Tuesday 18 July 2023 12:30
0.5%
0.2%
Thursday 15 June 2023 12:30
-0.1%
0.3%
Tuesday 16 May 2023 12:30
0.7%
0.4%
Friday 14 April 2023 12:30
-0.4%
-1%
Wednesday 15 March 2023 12:30
-0.3%
-0.4%
Wednesday 15 February 2023 13:30
1.8%
3%
Wednesday 18 January 2023 13:30
-0.8%
-1.1%
Thursday 15 December 2022 13:30
-0.1%
-0.6%
Wednesday 16 November 2022 13:30
1%
1.3%
Friday 14 October 2022 12:30
0.2%
0%
Thursday 15 September 2022 12:30
0%
0.3%
Wednesday 17 August 2022 12:30
0.1%
0%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for USD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Retail Sales (MoM) result:

PreviousLatest
Michigan Consumer Expectations IndexBearish change58.657.7
Michigan Consumer Sentiment IndexBearish change61.861.7
UoM 1-year Consumer Inflation ExpectationsBullish change4.4%4.5%
UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation ExpectationBearish change3.6%3.4%
ISM Manufacturing Employment IndexBearish change4543.4
ISM Manufacturing New Orders IndexBullish change46.447.1
ISM Manufacturing PMIBearish change4948
ISM Manufacturing Prices PaidBearish change69.764.8
Average Hourly Earnings (MoM)Bullish change0.2%0.3%
Average Hourly Earnings (YoY)Bullish change3.8%3.9%
Labor Force Participation RateBearish change62.3%62.2%
Nonfarm PayrollsBullish change14K73K
U6 Underemployment RateBearish change7.7%7.9%
Unemployment RateBearish change4.1%4.2%
Chicago PMIBullish change40.447.1
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)Bullish change0.2%0.3%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)(no change)2.8%2.8%
Employment Cost Index(no change)0.9%0.9%
Initial Jobless ClaimsBearish change217K218K
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM)Bullish change0.2%0.3%
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)Bullish change2.4%2.6%
Personal Income (MoM)Bullish change-0.4%0.3%
Personal SpendingBullish change0%0.3%
Challenger Job CutsBullish change47.999K62.075K
Fed Interest Rate Decision(no change)4.5%4.5%
Pending Home Sales (MoM)Bearish change1.8%-0.8%
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (QoQ)Bearish change3.5%2.5%
Gross Domestic Product AnnualizedBullish change-0.5%3%
Gross Domestic Product Price IndexBearish change3.8%2%
Personal Consumption Expenditures Prices (QoQ)Bearish change3.7%2.1%
ADP Employment ChangeBullish change-23K104K
JOLTS Job OpeningsBearish change7.771M7.437M
Housing Price Index (MoM)Bullish change-0.3%-0.2%
Durable Goods OrdersBearish change16.5%-9.3%
Durable Goods Orders ex DefenseBearish change15.7%-9.4%
Durable Goods Orders ex TransportationBearish change0.6%0.2%
Nondefense Capital Goods Orders ex AircraftBearish change2%-0.7%
New Home Sales Change (MoM)Bullish change-11.6%0.6%
S&P Global Composite PMIBullish change52.954.6
S&P Global Manufacturing PMIBearish change5249.5
S&P Global Services PMIBullish change52.955.2
Initial Jobless ClaimsBullish change221K217K
Existing Home Sales Change (MoM)Bearish change1%-2.7%

About Retail Sales (MoM)

Country:United States
Currency:USD
Source:US Census Bureau
Category:Consumption
Frequency:Monthly
Continue to site >

Personal Trade Copier

Trade Mirror

Trading Simulator

MyTrader App Suite

Publisher EA

MyTrader Connector EA

All Trader Downloads

All Developer Downloads

Currency Strength

Trader Sentiment

Price Alerts

Mini Charts

Premium Charting

Market Scanner

All Tools

Next High Impact Events

Week View

Next 24 Hours

Session Map

Chart View

Future Events

Past Events

Big Market Movers

Compare Brokers

Broker Offers

Market Analysis

Price Action News

Broker News

Example Analysis

Widgets

FAQ

Statement

Stats

Risk analysis

Widgets

Portfolio

FAQ

Please Log In
Not yet a user?