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Consumer Inflation Expectations

The Consumer Inflation Expectation released by the Melbourne Institute presents the consumer expectations of future inflation during the next 12 months. The higher expectations, the stronger the effect they will have on a probability of a rate hike by the RBA. Therefore, a high reading should be taken as positive, or bullish, for the AUD, while a low expectations are seen as negative or bearish.

Most recent - Thursday 15 February 2024 00:00

Previous
4.5%
Forecast
-
Actual
4.5%

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Consumer Inflation Expectations was 4.5%.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Thursday 15 February 2024 00:00
-
4.5%
Thursday 18 January 2024 00:00
-
4.5%
Thursday 14 December 2023 00:00
-
4.5%
Thursday 16 November 2023 00:00
-
4.9%
Thursday 12 October 2023 00:00
-
4.8%
Thursday 14 September 2023 01:00
-
4.6%
Thursday 10 August 2023 01:00
-
4.9%
Thursday 13 July 2023 01:00
5.1%
5.2%
Thursday 15 June 2023 01:00
4.8%
5.2%
Thursday 11 May 2023 01:00
5%
5%
Thursday 13 April 2023 01:33
5.3%
4.6%
Thursday 16 March 2023 00:00
5.4%
5%
Thursday 16 February 2023 00:00
5.6%
5.1%
Thursday 19 January 2023 00:00
-
5.6%
Thursday 15 December 2022 00:00
5.7%
5.2%
Thursday 10 November 2022 00:00
5.7%
6%
Thursday 13 October 2022 00:00
5.8%
5.4%
Thursday 15 September 2022 01:00
6.7%
5.4%
Thursday 11 August 2022 01:00
-
5.9%
Thursday 14 July 2022 01:00
5.9%
6.3%
Thursday 16 June 2022 01:00
-
6.7%
Thursday 12 May 2022 01:00
4.8%
5%
Thursday 14 April 2022 01:00
4.6%
5.2%
Thursday 10 March 2022 00:00
4.6%
4.9%
Thursday 10 February 2022 00:00
4.5%
4.6%
Thursday 20 January 2022 00:00
-
4.4%
Thursday 16 December 2021 00:00
4.1%
4.8%
Thursday 11 November 2021 00:00
-
4.6%
Thursday 14 October 2021 00:00
3.8%
3.6%
Thursday 16 September 2021 01:00
-
4.4%
Thursday 12 August 2021 01:00
3.8%
3.3%
Thursday 15 July 2021 01:00
3.7%
3.7%
Thursday 10 June 2021 01:00
3.6%
4.4%
Thursday 20 May 2021 01:00
3.6%
3.5%
Thursday 15 April 2021 01:00
-
3.2%
Thursday 11 March 2021 00:00
3.5%
4.1%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been moderately bullish for AUD. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Consumer Inflation Expectations result:

PreviousLatest
Private Capital ExpenditureBullish change0.3%0.8%
Retail Sales s.a. (MoM)Bullish change-2.1%1.1%
Judo Bank Services PMIBullish change49.152.8
Judo Bank Composite PMIBullish change4951.8
Judo Bank Manufacturing PMIBearish change50.147.7
Wage Price Index (QoQ)Bearish change1.3%0.9%

About Consumer Inflation Expectations

Country:Australia
Currency:AUD
Source:University of Melbourne
Category:Inflation
Frequency:Monthly

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