NIESR GDP Estimate (3M)

The GDP Estimate released by the National Institute of Economic and Social Research is an estimate of growth over the last 3 months up to the report which comes out a month before the official announcement. The report is highly reliable and would influence the UK monetary policy. A high reading is seen as positive (or bullish) for the GBP, whereas a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).

Hide description Full calendar

Most recent - Wednesday 13 September 2023 11:00

0.3%

Revised

Forecast

Actual

0.2%

Next event - Thursday 12 October 2023 11:00

0.2%

Forecast

Actual

The typical/expected market impact of this event is low.

There is no forecast value for NIESR GDP Estimate (3M) yet - check back for updates.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for NIESR GDP Estimate (3M) was 0.2%.

Past events

Date

Forecast

Actual

Wednesday 13 September 2023 11:00

0.2%

Friday 11 August 2023 13:00

0.3%

Thursday 13 July 2023 12:00

Wednesday 14 June 2023 11:00

0.1%

Friday 12 May 2023 12:00

0.1%

Thursday 13 April 2023 11:00

-0.1%

0.1%

Friday 10 March 2023 12:00

-0.1%

Friday 10 February 2023 12:00

-0.1%

Friday 13 January 2023 12:00

-0.3%

0.1%

Monday 12 December 2022 12:00

-0.3%

Friday 11 November 2022 12:00

-0.2%

-0.3%

Wednesday 12 October 2022 12:00

-0.1%

-0.3%

Monday 12 September 2022 11:01

0.1%

-0.2%

Friday 12 August 2022 11:00

Wednesday 13 July 2022 11:00

0.1%

0.2%

Monday 13 June 2022 11:00

0.6%

-0.1%

Thursday 12 May 2022 12:30

0.3%

Monday 11 April 2022 13:00

Friday 11 March 2022 14:00

1.1%

Friday 11 February 2022 14:00

1.1%

0.9%

Friday 14 January 2022 13:00

1.2%

Friday 10 December 2021 13:00

1.3%

0.9%

Thursday 11 November 2021 13:50

Wednesday 13 October 2021 12:00

3.2%

1.5%

Friday 10 September 2021 11:00

4.4%

2.4%

Thursday 12 August 2021 11:20

4.4%

3.9%

Friday 9 July 2021 12:00

2.6%

4.8%

Friday 11 June 2021 11:00

3.8%

Wednesday 12 May 2021 11:00

-1.8%

1.3%

Tuesday 13 April 2021 11:00

-1.5%

Friday 12 March 2021 13:19

-2%

Friday 12 February 2021 12:00

-2.5%

Friday 15 January 2021 12:00

0.9%

Thursday 10 December 2020 14:35

1.5%

Thursday 12 November 2020 13:15

20.1%

10.2%

Friday 9 October 2020 11:00

8.7%

15.2%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for GBP. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next NIESR GDP Estimate (3M) result:

		Previous	Latest
S&P Global/CIPS Composite PMI	Bearish change	48.6	46.8
S&P Global/CIPS Manufacturing PMI	Bullish change	43	44.2
S&P Global/CIPS Services PMI	Bearish change	49.5	47.2
Retail Sales (MoM)	Bullish change	-1.1%	0.4%
Retail Sales (YoY)	Bullish change	-3.1%	-1.4%
Retail Sales ex-Fuel (MoM)	Bullish change	-1.4%	0.6%
Retail Sales ex-Fuel (YoY)	Bullish change	-3.3%	-1.4%
GfK Consumer Confidence	Bullish change	-25	-21
BoE MPC Vote Rate Cut	(no change)	0	0
BoE MPC Vote Rate Hike	Bearish change	8	4
Consumer Price Index (MoM)	Bullish change	-0.4%	0.3%
Consumer Price Index (YoY)	Bearish change	6.8%	6.7%
Core Consumer Price Index (YoY)	Bearish change	6.9%	6.2%
PPI Core Output (MoM) n.s.a	Bearish change	0.1%	-0.1%
PPI Core Output (YoY) n.s.a	Bearish change	2.2%	1.6%
Producer Price Index - Output (MoM) n.s.a	(no change)	0.2%	0.2%
Producer Price Index - Output (YoY) n.s.a	Bullish change	-0.7%	-0.4%
Retail Price Index (MoM)	Bullish change	-0.6%	0.6%
Retail Price Index (YoY)	Bullish change	9%	9.1%
Consumer Inflation Expectations	Bullish change	3.5%	3.6%
Gross Domestic Product (MoM)	Bearish change	0.5%	-0.5%
Industrial Production (MoM)	Bearish change	1.8%	-0.7%
Manufacturing Production (MoM)	Bearish change	2.4%	-0.8%
Manufacturing Production (YoY)	Bearish change	3.1%	3%
Average Earnings Excluding Bonus (3Mo/Yr)	(no change)	7.8%	7.8%
Average Earnings Including Bonus (3Mo/Yr)	Bullish change	8.4%	8.5%
Claimant Count Change	Bullish change	7.4K	0.9K
Claimant Count Rate	(no change)	4%	4%
Employment Change	Bearish change	-66K	-207K
ILO Unemployment Rate (3M)	Bearish change	4.2%	4.3%

About NIESR GDP Estimate (3M)

Country:	United Kingdom
Currency:	GBP
Source:	National Institute of Economic and Social Research
Category:	Economic Activity
Frequency:	Monthly

Related events

	Australia		Gross Domestic Product (QoQ)
	Canada		Gross Domestic Product Annualized
	Switzerland		Gross Domestic Product s.a. (QoQ)
	China		Non-Manufacturing PMI
	China		Gross Domestic Product (YoY)
	China		Gross Domestic Product (QoQ)
	China		NBS Manufacturing PMI
	Germany		S&P Global/BME Manufacturing PMI
	Germany		Gross Domestic Product (QoQ)
	Germany		S&P Global/BME Composite PMI
	Eurozone		Gross Domestic Product s.a. (YoY)
	Eurozone		Gross Domestic Product s.a. (QoQ)
	Eurozone		S&P Global Composite PMI
	Japan		Gross Domestic Product (QoQ)
	Japan		Tankan Large Manufacturing Index
	New Zealand		Gross Domestic Product (YoY)
	New Zealand		Gross Domestic Product (QoQ)
	United Kingdom		S&P Global/CIPS Services PMI
	United Kingdom		Gross Domestic Product (QoQ)
	United States		ISM Manufacturing PMI
	United States		Gross Domestic Product Annualized
	United States		Nondefense Capital Goods Orders ex Aircraft
	United States		ISM Services PMI
	United States		Durable Goods Orders
	Australia		S&P Global Manufacturing PMI
	Australia		National Australia Bank's Business Confidence (QoQ)
	Australia		S&P Global Services PMI
	Australia		AiG Performance of Mfg Index
	Australia		AiG Industry Index
	Australia		Gross Domestic Product (YoY)
	Canada		Bank of Canada Business Outlook Survey
	Canada		Gross Domestic Product (MoM)
	Canada		Ivey Purchasing Managers Index
	Canada		Ivey Purchasing Managers Index s.a
	Canada		Gross Domestic Product (QoQ)
	Canada		S&P Global Manufacturing PMI
	Switzerland		KOF Leading Indicator
	Switzerland		Industrial Production (YoY)
	Switzerland		Gross Domestic Product (YoY)
	Switzerland		ZEW Survey – Expectations
	China		Industrial Production (YoY)
	China		Caixin Services PMI
	China		Caixin Manufacturing PMI
	Germany		ZEW Survey – Economic Sentiment
	Germany		IFO – Current Assessment
	Germany		IFO – Expectations
	Germany		ZEW Survey – Current Situation
	Germany		IFO – Business Climate
	Germany		S&P Global/BME Services PMI
	Germany		Gross Domestic Product w.d.a (YoY)
	Germany		Gross Domestic Product (YoY)
	Germany		Factory Orders s.a. (MoM)
	Eurozone		ZEW Survey – Economic Sentiment
	Eurozone		S&P Global Manufacturing PMI
	Eurozone		S&P Global Services PMI
	Eurozone		Industrial Production s.a. (MoM)
	Eurozone		Business Climate
	Spain		S&P Global Services PMI
	Spain		S&P Global Manufacturing PMI
	France		S&P Global Manufacturing PMI
	France		S&P Global Composite PMI
	France		Gross Domestic Product (QoQ)
	France		S&P Global Services PMI
	Italy		Gross Domestic Product (YoY)
	Italy		S&P Global Manufacturing PMI
	Italy		Gross Domestic Product (QoQ)
	Italy		S&P Global Services PMI
	Japan		Tankan Large All Industry Capex
	Japan		Tankan Large Manufacturing Outlook
	Japan		Industrial Production (YoY)
	Japan		Gross Domestic Product Annualized
	Japan		Industrial Production (MoM)
	New Zealand		Business NZ PMI
	New Zealand		NZIER Business Confidence (QoQ)
	Poland		Purchasing Manager Index
	United Kingdom		Manufacturing Production (MoM)
	United Kingdom		S&P Global/CIPS Composite PMI
	United Kingdom		Manufacturing Production (YoY)
	United Kingdom		Gross Domestic Product (MoM)
	United Kingdom		Industrial Production (MoM)
	United Kingdom		Gross Domestic Product (YoY)
	United Kingdom		S&P Global/CIPS Manufacturing PMI
	United States		Durable Goods Orders ex Defense
	United States		S&P Global Manufacturing PMI
	United States		S&P Global Services PMI
	United States		Chicago Fed National Activity Index
	United States		Factory Orders (MoM)
	United States		ISM Services New Orders Index
	United States		ISM Manufacturing New Orders Index
	United States		Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey
	United States		S&P Global Composite PMI
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	United States		Gross Domestic Product Price Index

Calendar - NIESR GDP Estimate (3M) - United Kingdom

NIESR GDP Estimate (3M)

Most recent - Wednesday 13 September 2023 11:00

Next event - Thursday 12 October 2023 11:00

Trading range

Trading range after each NIESR GDP Estimate (3M) event

Forecast history

Past events

Economic context

About NIESR GDP Estimate (3M)

Related events