ECB Rate On Main Refinancing Operations

ECB Rate On Main Refinancing Operations is announced by the European Central Bank. Usually if the ECB is hawkish about the inflationary outlook of the economy and rises the interest rates it is positive, or bullish, for the EUR. Likewise, if the ECB has a dovish view on the European economy and keeps the ongoing interest rate, or cuts the interest rate it is seen as negative, or bearish.

Most recent - Thursday 5 June 2025 12:15

Previous
2.4%
Forecast
2.15%
Actual
2.15%

Next event - Thursday 24 July 2025 12:15

Previous
2.15%
Forecast
-
Actual
-

The typical/expected impact on EUR pairs is high.

There is no forecast value for ECB Rate On Main Refinancing Operations yet - check back for updates.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for ECB Rate On Main Refinancing Operations was 2.15% against a forecast of 2.15%.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Thursday 5 June 2025 12:15
2.15%
2.15%
Thursday 17 April 2025 12:15
2.4%
2.4%
Thursday 6 March 2025 13:15
2.65%
2.65%
Thursday 30 January 2025 13:15
2.9%
2.9%
Thursday 12 December 2024 13:15
3.15%
3.15%
Thursday 17 October 2024 12:15
3.4%
3.4%
Thursday 12 September 2024 12:15
3.65%
3.65%
Thursday 18 July 2024 12:15
4.25%
4.25%
Thursday 6 June 2024 12:15
4.25%
4.25%
Thursday 11 April 2024 12:15
4.5%
4.5%
Thursday 7 March 2024 13:15
4.5%
4.5%
Thursday 25 January 2024 13:15
4.5%
4.5%
Thursday 14 December 2023 13:15
4.5%
4.5%
Thursday 26 October 2023 12:15
4.5%
4.5%
Thursday 14 September 2023 12:15
4.25%
4.5%
Thursday 27 July 2023 12:15
4.25%
4.25%
Thursday 15 June 2023 12:15
4%
4%
Thursday 4 May 2023 12:15
3.75%
3.75%
Thursday 16 March 2023 13:15
3.5%
3.5%
Thursday 2 February 2023 13:15
3%
3%
Thursday 15 December 2022 13:15
2.5%
2.5%
Thursday 27 October 2022 12:15
2%
2%
Thursday 8 September 2022 12:15
1.25%
1.25%
Thursday 21 July 2022 12:15
0.25%
0.5%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for EUR. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next ECB Rate On Main Refinancing Operations result:

PreviousLatest
GfK Consumer Confidence SurveyBearish change-20-20.3
Gross Domestic Product (QoQ)Bearish change0.7%0.6%
IFO – Business ClimateBullish change87.588.4
IFO – Current AssessmentBullish change86.186.2
IFO – ExpectationsBullish change8990.7
HCOB Composite PMI(no change)50.250.2
HCOB Manufacturing PMI(no change)49.449.4
HCOB Services PMIBullish change49.750
HCOB Composite PMIBullish change48.550.4
HCOB Manufacturing PMIBullish change48.349
HCOB Services PMIBullish change47.149.4
HCOB Composite PMIBearish change49.348.5
HCOB Manufacturing PMIBearish change49.847.8
HCOB Services PMIBearish change48.948.7
Consumer ConfidenceBearish change-15.2-15.3
Producer Price Index (MoM)Bullish change-0.6%-0.2%
Producer Price Index (YoY)Bearish change-0.9%-1.2%
Core Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (MoM)(no change)0%0%
Core Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY)(no change)2.3%2.3%
Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (MoM)(no change)0%0%
ZEW Survey – Current SituationBullish change-82-72
ZEW Survey – Economic SentimentBullish change25.247.5
ZEW Survey – Economic SentimentBullish change11.635.3
Consumer Price Index (EU Norm) (YoY)Bearish change1.9%1.7%
Consumer Price Index (YoY)Bearish change1.7%1.6%
Industrial Production s.a. (MoM)Bearish change2.4%-2.4%
Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY)Bullish change1.9%2%
Consumer Price Index (EU norm) (YoY)(no change)0.6%0.6%
Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (MoM)(no change)0.2%0.2%
Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY)(no change)2.1%2.1%

About ECB Rate On Main Refinancing Operations

Country:Eurozone
Currency:EUR
Source:European Central Bank
Category:Interest Rates
Frequency:Weekly/week-based
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