Trade Balance s.a.

The Trade Balance released by the Statistisches Bundesamt Deutschland is a balance between exports and imports of total goods and services. A positive value shows a trade surplus, while a negative value shows a trade deficit. It is an event that generates some volatility for the EUR. If a steady demand in exchange for German exports is seen, that would turn into a positive growth in the trade balance, and that should be positive for the EUR. Review Alex Nekritin's Article - Trading the Euro with Germany Trade Balance

Most recent - Thursday 7 November 2024 07:00

Previous
€22.5B
Revised
-
Forecast
€20.9B
Actual
€17B

Lower numbers than forecast tend to be bullish for xxx/EUR pairs and bearish for EUR/xxx pairs.

Next event - Friday 6 December 2024 07:00

Previous
-
Forecast
-
Actual
-

The typical/expected impact on EUR pairs is medium.

There is no forecast value for Trade Balance s.a. yet - check back for updates.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for Trade Balance s.a. was €17B against a forecast of €20.9B.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Thursday 7 November 2024 07:00
€20.9B
€17B
Wednesday 9 October 2024 06:00
€18.4B
€22.5B
Friday 6 September 2024 06:00
€21B
€16.8B
Wednesday 7 August 2024 06:00
€23.5B
€20.4B
Monday 8 July 2024 06:00
€20.3B
€24.9B
Friday 7 June 2024 06:00
€22.6B
€22.1B
Tuesday 7 May 2024 06:00
€22.4B
€22.3B
Monday 8 April 2024 06:00
€25.5B
€21.4B
Wednesday 6 March 2024 07:00
€21.5B
€27.5B
Monday 5 February 2024 07:00
€18.8B
€22.2B
Monday 8 January 2024 07:00
€17.9B
€20.4B
Monday 4 December 2023 07:00
€17B
€17.8B
Friday 3 November 2023 07:00
€16.3B
€16.5B
Thursday 5 October 2023 06:00
€15B
€16.6B
Monday 4 September 2023 06:00
€18B
€15.9B
Thursday 3 August 2023 06:00
€15B
€18.7B
Tuesday 4 July 2023 06:00
€17B
€14.4B
Monday 5 June 2023 06:00
€16.4B
€18.4B
Thursday 4 May 2023 06:00
€16.1B
€16.7B
Tuesday 4 April 2023 06:00
€17B
€16B
Friday 3 March 2023 07:00
€11B
€16.7B
Thursday 2 February 2023 07:00
€9.2B
€10B
Thursday 5 January 2023 07:00
€7.5B
€10.8B
Friday 2 December 2022 07:00
€5.2B
€6.9B
Wednesday 2 November 2022 07:00
€0.7B
€3.7B
Wednesday 5 October 2022 06:00
€4B
€1.2B
Friday 2 September 2022 06:00
€4.8B
€5.4B
Wednesday 3 August 2022 06:00
€0.2B
€6.4B
Monday 4 July 2022 06:00
€2.4B
€-1B
Friday 3 June 2022 06:00
€1.6B
€3.5B
Wednesday 4 May 2022 06:00
€9.8B
€3.2B
Monday 4 April 2022 06:00
€9.6B
€11.5B
Friday 4 March 2022 07:00
€6.1B
€9.4B
Wednesday 9 February 2022 07:00
€10.4B
€6.8B
Friday 7 January 2022 07:00
€12.8B
€10.9B
Thursday 9 December 2021 07:00
€13.4B
€12.5B

Economic context

Recent economic data has been moderately bearish for EUR. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next Trade Balance s.a. result:

PreviousLatest
Unemployment Rate(no change)6.3%6.3%
Gross Domestic Product (QoQ)(no change)0%0%
Gross Domestic Product (YoY)(no change)0.4%0.4%
HCOB Manufacturing PMIBearish change43.243
HCOB Manufacturing PMIBearish change46.944.5
HCOB Manufacturing PMIBearish change54.553.1
Core Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (MoM)Bearish change0.2%-0.6%
Core Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY)Bullish change2.7%2.8%
Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (MoM)Bearish change0.3%-0.3%
Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY)Bullish change2%2.3%
Consumer Price Index (EU Norm) (YoY)Bullish change1%1.6%
Consumer Price Index (YoY)Bullish change0.9%1.4%
Unemployment ChangeBullish change27K7K
Unemployment Rate s.a.(no change)6.1%6.1%
Consumer Price Index (EU norm) (YoY)Bullish change1.6%1.7%
Retail Sales (MoM)Bearish change1.6%-1.5%
Retail Sales (YoY)Bearish change1.4%1%
Consumer Price Index (MoM)Bearish change0.4%-0.2%
Consumer Price Index (YoY)Bullish change2%2.2%
Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (MoM)Bearish change0.4%-0.7%
Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY)(no change)2.4%2.4%
Business ClimateBullish change-0.93-0.77
Consumer ConfidenceBearish change-12.4-13.7
Economic Sentiment IndicatorBullish change95.795.8
Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY)Bullish change1.8%2.4%
GfK Consumer Confidence SurveyBearish change-18.4-23.3
IFO – Business ClimateBearish change86.585.7
IFO – Current AssessmentBearish change85.784.3
IFO – ExpectationsBearish change87.387.2
HCOB Manufacturing PMIBearish change4645.2
HCOB Composite PMIBearish change5048.1
HCOB Services PMIBearish change51.649.2
HCOB Composite PMIBearish change48.647.3
HCOB Manufacturing PMIBullish change4343.2
HCOB Services PMIBearish change51.649.4
HCOB Composite PMIBearish change48.144.8
HCOB Manufacturing PMIBearish change44.543.2
HCOB Services PMIBearish change49.245.7
Gross Domestic Product (QoQ)Bearish change0.2%0.1%
Gross Domestic Product (YoY)Bearish change-0.2%-0.3%
Gross Domestic Product w.d.a (YoY)Bearish change0.2%0.1%
Consumer ConfidenceBullish change-12.5-12.4
Producer Price Index (MoM)Bullish change-0.5%0.2%
Producer Price Index (YoY)Bullish change-1.4%-1.1%

About Trade Balance s.a.

Country:Germany
Currency:EUR
Source:Federal Statistics Office of Germany
Category:Capital Flows
Frequency:Monthly
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