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ECB Rate On Main Refinancing Operations

ECB Rate On Main Refinancing Operations is announced by the European Central Bank. Usually if the ECB is hawkish about the inflationary outlook of the economy and rises the interest rates it is positive, or bullish, for the EUR. Likewise, if the ECB has a dovish view on the European economy and keeps the ongoing interest rate, or cuts the interest rate it is seen as negative, or bearish.

Most recent - Thursday 4 May 2023 12:15

Previous
3.5%
Forecast
3.75%
Actual
3.75%

Next event - Thursday 15 June 2023 12:15

Previous
3.75%
Forecast
-
Actual
-

The typical/expected impact on EUR pairs is high.

There is no forecast value for ECB Rate On Main Refinancing Operations yet - check back for updates.

Trading range

Forecast history

The most recent announced value for ECB Rate On Main Refinancing Operations was 3.75% against a forecast of 3.75%.

Past events

Date
Forecast
Actual
Thursday 4 May 2023 12:15
3.75%
3.75%
Thursday 16 March 2023 13:15
3.5%
3.5%
Thursday 2 February 2023 13:15
3%
3%
Thursday 15 December 2022 13:15
2.5%
2.5%
Thursday 27 October 2022 12:15
2%
2%
Thursday 8 September 2022 12:15
1.25%
1.25%
Thursday 21 July 2022 12:15
0.25%
0.5%
Thursday 9 June 2022 11:45
0%
0%
Thursday 14 April 2022 11:45
0%
0%
Thursday 10 March 2022 12:45
0%
0%
Thursday 3 February 2022 12:45
0%
0%
Thursday 16 December 2021 12:45
-
0%
Thursday 28 October 2021 11:45
0%
0%
Thursday 9 September 2021 11:45
0%
0%
Thursday 22 July 2021 11:45
0%
0%
Thursday 10 June 2021 11:45
0%
0%
Thursday 22 April 2021 11:45
0%
0%
Thursday 11 March 2021 12:45
0%
0%
Thursday 21 January 2021 12:45
0%
0%
Thursday 10 December 2020 12:45
0%
0%
Thursday 29 October 2020 12:45
0%
0%
Thursday 10 September 2020 11:45
0%
0%
Thursday 16 July 2020 11:45
0%
0%
Thursday 4 June 2020 11:45
0%
0%

Economic context

Recent economic data has been broadly neutral for EUR. Other recent announcements which may affect the market's interpretation of the next ECB Rate On Main Refinancing Operations result:

PreviousLatest
Core Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (MoM)Bearish change1%0.2%
Core Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY)Bearish change5.6%5.3%
Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (MoM)Bearish change0.6%0%
Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY)Bearish change7%6.1%
Unemployment RateBullish change6.6%6.5%
30-y Bond AuctionBullish change3.81%3.98%
UnemploymentBullish change7.9%7.8%
HCOB Manufacturing PMIBullish change42.943.2
HCOB Manufacturing PMIBearish change46.845.9
HCOB Manufacturing PMIBearish change4948.4
Retail Sales (MoM)Bullish change-2.4%0.8%
Retail Sales (YoY)Bullish change-8.6%-4.3%
Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY)Bearish change7.6%6.3%
Gross Domestic Product (QoQ)Bullish change0.5%0.6%
Gross Domestic Product (YoY)Bullish change1.8%1.9%
Unemployment ChangeBullish change24K9K
Unemployment Rate s.a.(no change)5.6%5.6%
Business ClimateBearish change0.510.19
Consumer Confidence(no change)-17.4-17.4
Gfk Consumer Confidence SurveyBullish change-25.8-24.2
Gross Domestic Product (QoQ)Bearish change0%-0.3%
Gross Domestic Product (YoY)Bearish change-0.1%-0.5%
Gross Domestic Product w.d.a (YoY)Bearish change0.2%-0.2%
IFO – Business ClimateBearish change93.491.7
IFO – Current AssessmentBearish change95.194.8
IFO – ExpectationsBearish change91.788.6
HCOB Composite PMIBearish change54.153.3
HCOB Manufacturing PMIBearish change45.844.6
HCOB Services PMIBearish change56.255.9
HCOB Composite PMIBullish change54.254.3
HCOB Manufacturing PMIBearish change44.542.9
HCOB Services PMIBullish change5657.8
HCOB Composite PMIBearish change52.451.4
HCOB Manufacturing PMIBullish change45.646.1
Consumer ConfidenceBullish change-17.5-17.4

About ECB Rate On Main Refinancing Operations

Country:Eurozone
Currency:EUR
Source:European Central Bank
Category:Interest Rates
Frequency:Weekly/week-based

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